Italy · Serie B

Catanzaro vs Carrarese

Kick-off 16:15 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Catanzaro 69.4% Draw 20.7% Carrarese 9.9%

Over 2.5 - 54% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 13.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.3%

Exact-score model probability

Catanzaro

L L W W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Carrarese

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Catanzaro win69.4%

Draw20.7%

Carrarese win9.9%

Over 1.5 goals78.9%

Over 2.5 goals54.3%

Over 3.5 goals32.0%

Both teams to score45.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.0%

Draw No Bet - Home86.5%

Home or Away (12)81.5%

Home Win70.5%

Both Halves Over 0.557.3%

Goal in Both Halves57.3%

Draw or Away (X2)29.4%

Draw18.4%

Exactly 1 Goal16.4%

Draw No Bet - Away13.5%

Away Win11.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.2%

Under 5.5 Goals93.0%

Under 4.5 Goals83.9%

Over 1.5 Goals77.8%

Under 3.5 Goals68.0%

1-3 Goals62.2%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals54.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.8%

Under 2.5 Goals45.7%

1-2 Goals39.9%

3-4 Goals38.3%

Over 3.5 Goals32.0%

4+ Goals32.0%

Exactly 2 Goals23.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals16.1%

Over 5.5 Goals7.0%

Under 0.5 Goals5.8%

Exactly 0 Goals5.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.2%

Away Team to Score50.7%

Home Clean Sheet49.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.8%

Home Win to Nil43.5%

Away Clean Sheet11.7%

Away Win to Nil5.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.3%

Home Over 1.563.2%

Away Over 0.550.7%

Away Exactly 049.2%

Home Over 2.536.3%

Home 3+ Goals36.3%

Away Exactly 134.9%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 125.1%

Away Over 1.515.9%

Away Exactly 212.3%

Home Exactly 011.7%

Away Over 2.53.5%

Away 3+ Goals3.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.7%

Home to win by 3+24.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.5%

Home to win by 124.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.4%

Home to win by 221.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 18.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.3%

Away to win by 22.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.544.9%

Home & No BTTS43.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.536.9%

BTTS & Over 2.536.0%

Home & BTTS27.0%

Home & Under 2.525.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.3%

Draw & Under 2.514.5%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Away & No BTTS5.9%

Away & Over 2.55.5%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Away & BTTS5.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.3%

HT Under 1.563.2%

HT Home Win51.2%

HT/FT Home/Home47.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.0%

HT Draw36.9%

HT Over 1.536.8%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.527.7%

Equal Goals Each Half24.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.8%

HT Both Teams Score16.9%

HT Away Win12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.6%

HT/FT Away/Away5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions