Italy · Serie B

Catanzaro vs Padova

Kick-off 17:15 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

47% confidence

Catanzaro 37.2% Draw 16.1% Padova 46.7%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 99.3% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

99.3%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Catanzaro high-scoring games

66.7%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Padova high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Catanzaro

L L W W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Padova

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Catanzaro win37.2%

Draw16.1%

Padova win46.7%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.4%

Over 3.5 goals90.3%

Both teams to score93.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.6%

BTTS & Over 2.5

90.3%

Over 3.5 Goals

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.9%

Goal in Both Halves92.9%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Draw or Away (X2)61.5%

Draw No Bet - Away55.6%

Home or Draw (1X)52.3%

Away Win46.0%

Draw No Bet - Home44.4%

Home Win36.8%

Draw15.5%

Exactly 1 Goal0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.8%

Over 3.5 Goals88.8%

4+ Goals88.8%

Over 4.5 Goals78.8%

Over 5.5 Goals65.1%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Under 5.5 Goals34.9%

Under 4.5 Goals21.2%

2-4 Goals18.7%

3-4 Goals16.0%

Under 3.5 Goals11.2%

1-3 Goals9.4%

2-3 Goals8.6%

Exactly 3 Goals6.0%

Under 2.5 Goals5.2%

1-2 Goals3.4%

Exactly 2 Goals2.6%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.5%

Home Team to Score94.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.4%

Away Clean Sheet4.0%

Away Win to Nil3.8%

Home Clean Sheet2.9%

Home Win to Nil2.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 0.594.4%

Away Over 1.585.3%

Home Over 1.581.7%

Away Over 2.567.2%

Away 3+ Goals67.2%

Home Over 2.561.2%

Home 3+ Goals61.2%

Home Exactly 220.5%

Away Exactly 218.1%

Home Exactly 112.7%

Away Exactly 110.2%

Home Exactly 04.0%

Away Exactly 02.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)67.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home67.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home52.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.6%

Away to win by 3+18.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 113.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.9%

Home to win by 3+12.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 212.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.3%

Home to win by 210.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.3%

Away & Over 2.544.9%

Away & BTTS42.2%

Home & Over 2.535.8%

Home & BTTS34.0%

Draw & BTTS15.4%

Draw & Over 2.514.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS3.8%

Home & No BTTS2.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Draw & Under 2.51.4%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Away & Under 2.51.1%

Home & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.2%

HT Over 1.580.7%

HT Both Teams Score61.0%

2nd Half More Goals52.5%

HT Away Win41.1%

HT Home Win34.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Away/Away31.1%

HT Draw24.0%

HT/FT Home/Home23.9%

HT Under 1.519.3%

Equal Goals Each Half15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.6%

HT/FT Home/Away5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT Under 0.54.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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