UEFA Europa League

Celje vs Omonia Nicosia

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Celje 61.8% Draw 27.0% Omonia Nicosia 11.2%

Over 2.5 - 37% BTTS - 36%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 18.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

18.4%

Exact-score model probability

Celje

D D W L D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Omonia Nicosia

L W D L W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 3:3 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 0.6

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celje win61.8%

Draw27.0%

Omonia Nicosia win11.2%

Over 1.5 goals65.1%

Over 2.5 goals36.9%

Over 3.5 goals17.5%

Both teams to score35.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

88.6%

Home or Draw (1X)

87.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.4%

Draw No Bet - Home83.3%

Home or Away (12)75.7%

Home Win63.1%

Both Halves Over 0.543.4%

Goal in Both Halves43.4%

Draw or Away (X2)36.9%

Exactly 1 Goal24.8%

Draw24.3%

Draw No Bet - Away16.7%

Away Win12.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.7%

Under 4.5 Goals93.1%

Over 0.5 Goals88.6%

Under 3.5 Goals82.5%

1-3 Goals71.1%

Over 1.5 Goals63.8%

Under 2.5 Goals63.1%

2-4 Goals56.9%

1-2 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

2-3 Goals46.3%

Over 2.5 Goals36.9%

Under 1.5 Goals36.2%

3-4 Goals30.0%

Exactly 2 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Over 3.5 Goals17.5%

4+ Goals17.5%

Under 0.5 Goals11.4%

Exactly 0 Goals11.4%

Over 4.5 Goals6.9%

Over 5.5 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)65.7%

Home Clean Sheet57.1%

Home Win to Nil45.7%

Away Team to Score42.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)34.3%

Away Clean Sheet20.0%

Away Win to Nil8.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.0%

Away Exactly 057.1%

Home Over 1.547.8%

Away Over 0.542.9%

Home Exactly 132.2%

Away Exactly 132.0%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Home Over 2.521.9%

Home 3+ Goals21.9%

Home Exactly 020.0%

Away Over 1.510.9%

Away Exactly 29.0%

Away Over 2.51.9%

Away 3+ Goals1.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw28.0%

Home to win by 128.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 219.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.3%

Home to win by 3+15.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.7%

Away to win by 19.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.552.8%

Home & No BTTS45.7%

Home & Under 2.533.2%

Home & Over 2.529.9%

BTTS & Over 2.524.0%

Draw & Under 2.521.7%

Home & BTTS17.4%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.9%

BTTS & Under 2.510.3%

Away & No BTTS8.6%

Away & Under 2.58.2%

Away & Over 2.54.4%

Away & BTTS4.0%

Draw & Over 2.52.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.574.4%

HT Over 0.562.3%

HT Draw44.9%

HT Home Win43.4%

2nd Half More Goals40.9%

HT/FT Home/Home39.5%

HT Under 0.537.7%

1st Half More Goals29.9%

Equal Goals Each Half29.1%

HT Over 1.525.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.6%

HT Away Win11.8%

HT Both Teams Score11.5%

HT/FT Away/Away6.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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