UEFA Europa League

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Celje 36.9% Draw 22.9% Red Bull Salzburg 40.2%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Celje

D D W L D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Red Bull Salzburg

W D W

Form 2-1-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celje win36.9%

Draw22.9%

Red Bull Salzburg win40.2%

Over 1.5 goals91.2%

Over 2.5 goals74.9%

Over 3.5 goals55.0%

Both teams to score74.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.0%

Both Halves Over 0.573.2%

Goal in Both Halves73.2%

Draw or Away (X2)62.1%

Home or Draw (1X)58.8%

Draw No Bet - Away52.0%

Draw No Bet - Home48.0%

Away Win41.1%

Home Win37.9%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal7.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.2%

Under 5.5 Goals79.8%

Over 2.5 Goals74.9%

Under 4.5 Goals64.5%

Over 3.5 Goals55.0%

4+ Goals55.0%

2-4 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals45.0%

1-3 Goals43.0%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals35.5%

2-3 Goals35.2%

Under 2.5 Goals25.1%

1-2 Goals23.1%

Over 5.5 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.4%

Home Team to Score85.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.3%

Away Clean Sheet14.7%

Home Clean Sheet13.5%

Away Win to Nil12.7%

Home Win to Nil11.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.4%

Home Over 0.585.3%

Away Over 1.559.4%

Home Over 1.557.1%

Away Over 2.532.3%

Away 3+ Goals32.3%

Home Over 2.530.1%

Home 3+ Goals30.1%

Home Exactly 128.2%

Away Exactly 127.1%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 014.7%

Away Exactly 013.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.2%

Away to win by 212.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.2%

Home to win by 211.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.5%

Away to win by 3+10.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.0%

Home to win by 3+9.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.1%

Away & Over 2.533.2%

Home & Over 2.530.4%

Away & BTTS28.4%

Home & BTTS26.4%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.4%

Away & No BTTS12.7%

Home & No BTTS11.5%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

Draw & Under 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Away & Under 2.58.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Home & Under 2.57.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Over 1.552.6%

HT Under 1.547.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Away Win34.4%

HT Both Teams Score34.3%

HT Draw33.3%

HT Home Win32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT/FT Away/Away25.5%

HT/FT Home/Home23.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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