UEFA Europa League

Celta Vigo vs Juventus

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Celta Vigo 49.6% Draw 26.1% Juventus 24.3%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Juventus: 7 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.8%

Exact-score model probability

Celta Vigo

D W D D D L

Form 1-4-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Juventus

D W L D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celta Vigo win49.6%

Draw26.1%

Juventus win24.3%

Over 1.5 goals81.3%

Over 2.5 goals57.4%

Over 3.5 goals35.0%

Both teams to score59.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.7%

Home or Draw (1X)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Home66.5%

Both Halves Over 0.559.7%

Goal in Both Halves59.7%

Home Win51.0%

Draw or Away (X2)49.0%

Draw No Bet - Away33.5%

Away Win25.7%

Draw23.3%

Exactly 1 Goal15.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.7%

Under 4.5 Goals81.7%

Over 1.5 Goals79.9%

Under 3.5 Goals65.0%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.9%

Over 2.5 Goals57.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.9%

Under 2.5 Goals42.6%

3-4 Goals39.1%

1-2 Goals37.5%

Over 3.5 Goals35.0%

4+ Goals35.0%

Exactly 2 Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.1%

Over 4.5 Goals18.3%

Over 5.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.2%

Away Team to Score70.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.8%

Home Clean Sheet30.0%

Home Win to Nil25.0%

Away Clean Sheet16.8%

Away Win to Nil11.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.2%

Away Over 0.570.0%

Home Over 1.553.3%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Over 1.533.9%

Home Exactly 130.0%

Away Exactly 030.0%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Over 2.526.5%

Home 3+ Goals26.5%

Away Exactly 221.7%

Home Exactly 016.8%

Away Over 2.512.1%

Away 3+ Goals12.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.8%

Home to win by 122.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 215.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 115.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.7%

Home to win by 3+12.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 27.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.4%

Home & Over 2.534.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.531.7%

Home & BTTS26.0%

Home & No BTTS25.0%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Home & Under 2.517.0%

Away & Over 2.516.0%

Draw & Under 2.515.9%

Away & BTTS14.0%

Away & No BTTS11.7%

BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.0%

Away & Under 2.59.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.9%

HT Under 1.561.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.5%

HT Over 1.538.9%

HT Draw38.7%

HT Home Win38.6%

HT/FT Home/Home31.7%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.1%

Equal Goals Each Half24.1%

HT Both Teams Score23.1%

HT Away Win22.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.2%

HT/FT Away/Away14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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