Spain · La Liga

Celta Vigo vs Levante

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Celta Vigo 54.4% Draw 24.0% Levante 21.5%

Over 2.5 - 54% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Celta Vigo: 9 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.1%

Exact-score model probability

Celta Vigo

L D W D W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Levante

L L W D D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 9:12 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 4

Celta Vigo 2wins ·1 draws ·Levante 1wins

Celta Vigo 2-3 LevanteMay 12, 2026

Celta Vigo 2-1 LevanteNov 2, 2025

Celta Vigo 1-1 LevanteFeb 21, 2022

Celta Vigo 2-0 LevanteSep 21, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celta Vigo win54.4%

Draw24.0%

Levante win21.5%

Over 1.5 goals77.7%

Over 2.5 goals53.6%

Over 3.5 goals31.3%

Both teams to score56.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.2%

Home Team to Score

85.9%

Home Over 0.5

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)79.3%

Home or Away (12)78.2%

Draw No Bet - Home73.6%

Both Halves Over 0.560.6%

Goal in Both Halves60.6%

Home Win57.6%

Draw or Away (X2)42.4%

Draw No Bet - Away26.4%

Draw21.7%

Away Win20.7%

Exactly 1 Goal14.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Under 5.5 Goals91.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.8%

Over 1.5 Goals80.7%

Under 3.5 Goals63.7%

2-4 Goals61.5%

1-3 Goals58.9%

Over 2.5 Goals58.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.5%

Under 2.5 Goals41.3%

3-4 Goals39.5%

1-2 Goals36.5%

Over 3.5 Goals36.3%

4+ Goals36.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.1%

Under 1.5 Goals19.3%

Over 4.5 Goals19.2%

Over 5.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.9%

Away Team to Score66.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.1%

Home Clean Sheet33.7%

Home Win to Nil28.9%

Away Clean Sheet14.1%

Away Win to Nil9.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.9%

Away Over 0.566.3%

Home Over 1.558.2%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 033.7%

Home Over 2.531.2%

Home 3+ Goals31.2%

Away Over 1.529.7%

Home Exactly 127.6%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 219.9%

Home Exactly 014.1%

Away Over 2.59.7%

Away 3+ Goals9.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.4%

Home to win by 123.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 217.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.5%

Home to win by 3+16.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 113.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 25.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.2%

Away to win by 3+2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.546.8%

Home & Over 2.539.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.531.2%

Home & No BTTS28.9%

Home & BTTS28.6%

Home & Under 2.518.4%

Draw & BTTS17.0%

Draw & Under 2.514.9%

Away & Over 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.9%

Away & BTTS11.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Away & No BTTS9.4%

Away & Under 2.58.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.6%

HT Under 1.560.2%

2nd Half More Goals44.7%

HT Home Win43.0%

HT Over 1.539.8%

HT Draw37.6%

HT/FT Home/Home36.8%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.4%

Equal Goals Each Half23.8%

HT Both Teams Score22.7%

HT Away Win19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.4%

HT/FT Away/Away11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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