UEFA Europa League

Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise

Kick-off 21:00 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Celta Vigo 58.9% Draw 19.8% Union St. Gilloise 21.3%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Celta Vigo

L D W D W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Union St. Gilloise

D D L W D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:8 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celta Vigo win58.9%

Draw19.8%

Union St. Gilloise win21.3%

Over 1.5 goals92.7%

Over 2.5 goals78.2%

Over 3.5 goals59.4%

Both teams to score73.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Home or Draw (1X)77.8%

Both Halves Over 0.575.9%

Goal in Both Halves75.9%

Draw No Bet - Home73.0%

Home Win59.6%

Draw or Away (X2)40.2%

Draw No Bet - Away27.0%

Away Win22.1%

Draw18.1%

Exactly 1 Goal6.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals78.1%

Under 5.5 Goals76.3%

Under 4.5 Goals60.2%

Over 3.5 Goals59.3%

4+ Goals59.3%

2-4 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals40.7%

Over 4.5 Goals39.8%

1-3 Goals38.9%

3-4 Goals38.3%

2-3 Goals32.4%

Over 5.5 Goals23.7%

Under 2.5 Goals21.9%

1-2 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals18.8%

Exactly 2 Goals13.6%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.3%

Away Team to Score78.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.1%

Home Clean Sheet21.0%

Home Win to Nil19.4%

Away Clean Sheet7.5%

Away Win to Nil5.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.3%

Away Over 0.578.9%

Home Over 1.572.9%

Home Over 2.547.7%

Home 3+ Goals47.7%

Away Over 1.546.1%

Away Exactly 132.7%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 021.0%

Away Over 2.520.6%

Away 3+ Goals20.6%

Home Exactly 119.5%

Home Exactly 07.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.3%

Home to win by 3+22.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.2%

Home to win by 120.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.2%

Away to win by 112.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 26.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.7%

Away to win by 3+3.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.5%

Home & Over 2.550.3%

Home & BTTS40.2%

Home & No BTTS19.4%

Away & Over 2.517.7%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

Away & BTTS16.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.6%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

Home & Under 2.59.4%

Draw & Under 2.58.0%

BTTS & Under 2.56.4%

Away & No BTTS5.9%

Away & Under 2.54.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.5%

HT Over 1.555.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Home Win46.8%

HT Under 1.544.3%

HT/FT Home/Home39.7%

HT Both Teams Score34.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw30.9%

HT Away Win22.2%

Equal Goals Each Half19.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT Under 0.515.5%

HT/FT Away/Away12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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