UEFA Europa League

Celtic vs Beşiktaş

Kick-off 21:00 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Celtic 53.9% Draw 25.3% Beşiktaş 20.8%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Beşiktaş: 12 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.6%

Exact-score model probability

Celtic

L W W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Beşiktaş

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celtic win53.9%

Draw25.3%

Beşiktaş win20.8%

Over 1.5 goals80.8%

Over 2.5 goals56.7%

Over 3.5 goals34.3%

Both teams to score57.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

92.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)77.9%

Home or Away (12)77.4%

Draw No Bet - Home71.4%

Both Halves Over 0.559.1%

Goal in Both Halves59.1%

Home Win55.3%

Draw or Away (X2)44.7%

Draw No Bet - Away28.6%

Draw22.6%

Away Win22.1%

Exactly 1 Goal15.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.8%

Under 5.5 Goals92.0%

Under 4.5 Goals82.3%

Over 1.5 Goals79.4%

Under 3.5 Goals65.7%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.5%

Over 2.5 Goals56.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals45.1%

Under 2.5 Goals43.3%

3-4 Goals39.0%

1-2 Goals38.1%

Over 3.5 Goals34.3%

4+ Goals34.3%

Exactly 2 Goals22.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.6%

Over 4.5 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals8.0%

Under 0.5 Goals5.2%

Exactly 0 Goals5.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.4%

Away Team to Score66.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.8%

Home Clean Sheet33.4%

Home Win to Nil28.3%

Away Clean Sheet15.5%

Away Win to Nil10.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.4%

Away Over 0.566.5%

Home Over 1.555.5%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 033.4%

Away Over 1.529.9%

Home Exactly 128.9%

Home Over 2.528.6%

Home 3+ Goals28.6%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Exactly 015.5%

Away Over 2.59.9%

Away 3+ Goals9.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.5%

Home to win by 123.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.8%

Home to win by 3+14.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.9%

Away to win by 25.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.4%

Away to win by 3+2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.545.6%

Home & Over 2.536.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.7%

Home & No BTTS28.3%

Home & BTTS27.0%

Home & Under 2.518.7%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Under 2.515.8%

Away & Over 2.513.3%

Away & BTTS11.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.1%

BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

Away & No BTTS10.3%

Away & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.6%

HT Under 1.561.6%

2nd Half More Goals44.4%

HT Home Win41.2%

HT Draw38.5%

HT Over 1.538.4%

HT/FT Home/Home34.9%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.4%

Equal Goals Each Half24.2%

HT Both Teams Score22.1%

HT Away Win20.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.0%

HT/FT Away/Away12.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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