UEFA Europa League

Celtic vs Celta Vigo

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Celtic 48.9% Draw 35.5% Celta Vigo 15.6%

Over 2.5 - 22% BTTS - 29%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 21.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Celtic: 12 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

21.8%

Exact-score model probability

Celtic

L W W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Celta Vigo

W D W D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:3 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celtic win48.9%

Draw35.5%

Celta Vigo win15.6%

Over 1.5 goals49.9%

Over 2.5 goals22.4%

Over 3.5 goals8.3%

Both teams to score28.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

91.7%

HT Under 1.5

83.3%

Home or Draw (1X)

83.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)83.0%

Draw No Bet - Home74.8%

Home or Away (12)67.4%

Home Win50.4%

Draw or Away (X2)49.6%

Draw32.6%

Exactly 1 Goal31.9%

Both Halves Over 0.530.7%

Goal in Both Halves30.7%

Draw No Bet - Away25.2%

Away Win17.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.3%

Under 4.5 Goals97.5%

Under 3.5 Goals91.7%

Over 0.5 Goals80.4%

Under 2.5 Goals77.6%

1-3 Goals72.1%

1-2 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Even51.9%

Under 1.5 Goals51.6%

Over 1.5 Goals48.4%

Total Goals Odd48.1%

2-4 Goals45.9%

2-3 Goals40.2%

Exactly 2 Goals26.0%

Over 2.5 Goals22.4%

3-4 Goals19.9%

Under 0.5 Goals19.6%

Exactly 0 Goals19.6%

Exactly 3 Goals14.1%

Over 3.5 Goals8.3%

4+ Goals8.3%

Over 4.5 Goals2.5%

Over 5.5 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)73.0%

Home Team to Score67.2%

Home Clean Sheet59.7%

Away Team to Score40.2%

Home Win to Nil40.1%

Away Clean Sheet32.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)27.0%

Away Win to Nil13.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.567.2%

Away Exactly 059.7%

Away Over 0.540.2%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 032.8%

Away Exactly 130.8%

Home Over 1.530.6%

Home Exactly 220.4%

Home Over 2.510.2%

Home 3+ Goals10.2%

Away Over 1.59.5%

Away Exactly 27.9%

Away Over 2.51.6%

Away 3+ Goals1.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw28.7%

Home to win by 128.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 214.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.3%

Away to win by 113.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.0%

Home to win by 3+7.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.566.3%

Home & No BTTS40.1%

Home & Under 2.534.0%

Draw & Under 2.530.9%

Home & Over 2.516.4%

BTTS & Over 2.515.8%

Away & No BTTS13.2%

Draw & BTTS13.0%

Away & Under 2.512.7%

BTTS & Under 2.511.3%

Home & BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.6%

Away & Over 2.54.3%

Away & BTTS3.8%

Draw & Over 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.583.3%

HT Draw53.8%

HT Over 0.552.0%

HT Under 0.548.0%

2nd Half More Goals37.2%

Equal Goals Each Half34.8%

HT Home Win33.0%

HT/FT Home/Home29.1%

1st Half More Goals28.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw25.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.1%

HT Over 1.516.7%

HT Away Win13.2%

HT/FT Away/Away8.7%

HT Both Teams Score8.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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