Scotland · Premiership

Celtic vs Dundee

Kick-off 19:30 · Mon, Aug 3

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

76% confidence

Celtic 83.5% Draw 10.5% Dundee 5.4%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 52%

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Form gap

85%

Both Teams Score (GG)

Attacking threat

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Celtic's strong form and high scoring rate at home give them an edge. Dundee's away record is poor, with few clean sheets. Celtic's attacking threat, led by key players, will test Dundee's defense. The head-to-head history also favors Celtic. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to Celtic's high scoring rate and Dundee's struggles on the road.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 75.5% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Recent form leans to Celtic: 18 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

75.5%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Celtic high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Dundee high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Bookmaker implied chance

52%

Market does not fully agree

Celtic

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 15:6 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1

Dundee

W L W W L D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

Celtic 3wins ·1 draws ·Dundee 1wins

Celtic 2-1 DundeeApr 5, 2026

Celtic 1-0 DundeeDec 3, 2025

Celtic 0-2 DundeeOct 19, 2025

Celtic 6-0 DundeeFeb 5, 2025

Celtic 3-3 DundeeJan 14, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celtic win83.5%

Draw10.5%

Dundee win5.4%

Over 1.5 goals90.3%

Over 2.5 goals75.5%

Over 3.5 goals55.9%

Both teams to score64.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

89.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

HT Over 0.5

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.6%

Home or Draw (1X)92.8%

Home or Away (12)89.7%

Home Win83.9%

Both Halves Over 0.581.8%

Goal in Both Halves81.8%

Draw or Away (X2)14.6%

Draw8.9%

Draw No Bet - Away6.4%

Away Win5.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.6%

Over 2.5 Goals83.9%

Over 3.5 Goals68.4%

4+ Goals68.4%

Under 5.5 Goals67.3%

Over 4.5 Goals50.1%

Under 4.5 Goals49.9%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

2-4 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals33.8%

Over 5.5 Goals32.7%

Under 3.5 Goals31.6%

1-3 Goals29.3%

2-3 Goals25.2%

Under 2.5 Goals16.1%

Exactly 3 Goals15.4%

1-2 Goals13.8%

Exactly 2 Goals9.7%

Under 1.5 Goals6.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score62.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.8%

Home Clean Sheet35.8%

Home Win to Nil34.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.4%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.3%

Home Over 2.570.7%

Home 3+ Goals70.7%

Away Over 0.562.8%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Away Exactly 035.8%

Away Over 1.526.5%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Home Exactly 216.6%

Home Exactly 18.9%

Away Over 2.58.1%

Away 3+ Goals8.1%

Home Exactly 02.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home69.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)65.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away65.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)50.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home50.9%

Home to win by 3+50.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away47.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)32.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home32.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away29.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away14.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.0%

Away to win by 14.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.3%

Away to win by 21.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.574.6%

BTTS & Over 2.558.0%

Home & BTTS49.0%

Home & No BTTS34.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

Home & Under 2.59.2%

Draw & BTTS8.0%

Draw & Over 2.54.8%

Away & Over 2.54.4%

Away & BTTS4.3%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.2%

HT Home Win67.8%

HT/FT Home/Home64.8%

HT Over 1.563.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Under 1.537.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score29.8%

HT Draw22.7%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.5%

HT Under 0.511.8%

HT Away Win9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Away/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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