Scotland · Premiership

Celtic vs Dundee Utd

Kick-off 20:45 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

82% confidence

Celtic 81.8% Draw 11.9% Dundee Utd 6.1%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 42%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 11.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Celtic: 12 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Celtic 3 wins, 0 draws, Dundee Utd 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.3%

Exact-score model probability

Celtic

L W W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Dundee Utd

L L D D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:11 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Celtic 3wins ·0 draws ·Dundee Utd 2wins

Celtic 0-2 Dundee UtdMar 22, 2026

Celtic 4-0 Dundee UtdJan 10, 2026

Celtic 1-2 Dundee UtdDec 17, 2025

Celtic 5-0 Dundee UtdApr 26, 2025

Celtic 3-0 Dundee UtdFeb 15, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celtic win81.8%

Draw11.9%

Dundee Utd win6.1%

Over 1.5 goals86.5%

Over 2.5 goals68.3%

Over 3.5 goals46.8%

Both teams to score42.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.7%

Home Win

89.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home97.4%

Home or Draw (1X)96.0%

Home or Away (12)92.4%

Home Win89.9%

Both Halves Over 0.578.4%

Goal in Both Halves78.4%

Draw or Away (X2)8.5%

Draw6.0%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Draw No Bet - Away2.6%

Away Win2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals79.8%

Under 5.5 Goals73.7%

Over 3.5 Goals62.3%

4+ Goals62.3%

Under 4.5 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

2-4 Goals48.6%

Over 4.5 Goals43.1%

Under 3.5 Goals37.7%

3-4 Goals36.7%

1-3 Goals34.9%

2-3 Goals29.4%

Over 5.5 Goals26.3%

Under 2.5 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.4%

Exactly 2 Goals11.9%

Under 1.5 Goals8.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)57.1%

Home Clean Sheet54.5%

Home Win to Nil53.3%

Away Team to Score43.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)42.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.2%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.7%

Home Over 2.571.5%

Home 3+ Goals71.5%

Away Exactly 054.5%

Away Over 0.543.9%

Away Exactly 132.2%

Home Exactly 216.2%

Away Over 1.511.7%

Away Exactly 29.5%

Home Exactly 18.5%

Away Over 2.52.2%

Home Exactly 02.2%

Away 3+ Goals2.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)89.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)86.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home77.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)74.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away74.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)59.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home59.7%

Home to win by 3+59.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away58.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)40.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home40.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away38.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home23.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away20.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.4%

Home to win by 112.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away8.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 11.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 20.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.576.3%

Home & No BTTS53.3%

BTTS & Over 2.540.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.539.7%

Home & BTTS36.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.8%

Home & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & BTTS4.8%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.0%

Away & Over 2.51.5%

Away & BTTS1.4%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Home Win73.9%

HT/FT Home/Home72.3%

HT Over 1.558.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw20.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT Both Teams Score19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.6%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT Away Win5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Away/Away1.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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