UEFA Europa League

Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Sep 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Celtic 61.7% Draw 22.2% Ferencvarosi TC 16.1%

Over 2.5 - 62% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Celtic: 15 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Celtic

W W L W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 14:5 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Ferencvarosi TC

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 10:4 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celtic win61.7%

Draw22.2%

Ferencvarosi TC win16.1%

Over 1.5 goals84.2%

Over 2.5 goals62.3%

Over 3.5 goals40.0%

Both teams to score58.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.8%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)82.7%

Home or Away (12)80.1%

Draw No Bet - Home78.4%

Both Halves Over 0.563.4%

Goal in Both Halves63.4%

Home Win62.9%

Draw or Away (X2)37.1%

Draw No Bet - Away21.6%

Draw19.8%

Away Win17.3%

Exactly 1 Goal12.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.9%

Under 5.5 Goals89.4%

Over 1.5 Goals83.0%

Under 4.5 Goals77.9%

Over 2.5 Goals62.2%

2-4 Goals60.9%

Under 3.5 Goals60.0%

1-3 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.0%

3-4 Goals40.1%

Over 3.5 Goals40.0%

4+ Goals40.0%

Under 2.5 Goals37.8%

1-2 Goals33.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.8%

Under 1.5 Goals17.0%

Over 5.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.1%

Exactly 0 Goals4.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.5%

Away Team to Score64.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.6%

Home Clean Sheet35.1%

Home Win to Nil31.1%

Away Clean Sheet11.5%

Away Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.5%

Away Over 0.564.8%

Home Over 1.563.7%

Home Over 2.536.8%

Home 3+ Goals36.8%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 035.1%

Away Over 1.528.1%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 124.8%

Away Exactly 219.2%

Home Exactly 011.5%

Away Over 2.58.9%

Away 3+ Goals8.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.1%

Home to win by 123.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.8%

Home to win by 3+20.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 218.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.2%

Away to win by 111.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 24.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.7%

Away to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.3%

Home & Over 2.544.7%

Home & BTTS31.8%

Home & No BTTS31.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.6%

Home & Under 2.518.2%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.9%

Draw & Under 2.513.1%

Away & Over 2.510.9%

Away & BTTS9.8%

BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

Away & No BTTS7.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.4%

HT Under 1.557.6%

HT Home Win46.9%

2nd Half More Goals45.3%

HT Over 1.542.4%

HT/FT Home/Home41.2%

HT Draw35.7%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.523.6%

HT Both Teams Score23.4%

Equal Goals Each Half23.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.2%

HT Away Win17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.0%

HT/FT Away/Away9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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