Scotland · Premiership

Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Celtic 57.0% Draw 22.8% Heart Of Midlothian 20.2%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Celtic: 12 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Celtic

L W W L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

Heart Of Midlothian

W D D D W L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Celtic 2wins ·1 draws ·Heart Of Midlothian 2wins

Celtic 3-1 Heart Of MidlothianMay 16, 2026

Celtic 2-2 Heart Of MidlothianJan 25, 2026

Celtic 1-2 Heart Of MidlothianDec 7, 2025

Celtic 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianOct 26, 2025

Celtic 3-0 Heart Of MidlothianMar 29, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celtic win57.0%

Draw22.8%

Heart Of Midlothian win20.2%

Over 1.5 goals76.7%

Over 2.5 goals52.8%

Over 3.5 goals30.6%

Both teams to score59.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home92.5%

Home or Draw (1X)91.8%

Home or Away (12)89.1%

Both Halves Over 0.582.6%

Goal in Both Halves82.6%

Home Win82.4%

Draw or Away (X2)16.2%

Draw9.5%

Draw No Bet - Away7.5%

Away Win6.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.0%

Over 2.5 Goals84.8%

Over 3.5 Goals70.0%

4+ Goals70.0%

Under 5.5 Goals65.5%

Over 4.5 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Under 4.5 Goals48.0%

2-4 Goals42.0%

Over 5.5 Goals34.5%

3-4 Goals32.9%

Under 3.5 Goals30.0%

1-3 Goals27.8%

2-3 Goals24.0%

Under 2.5 Goals15.2%

Exactly 3 Goals14.8%

1-2 Goals12.9%

Exactly 2 Goals9.2%

Under 1.5 Goals6.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score66.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.3%

Home Clean Sheet32.3%

Home Win to Nil31.5%

Away Clean Sheet2.4%

Away Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.3%

Home Over 2.570.7%

Home 3+ Goals70.7%

Away Over 0.566.3%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Exactly 032.3%

Away Over 1.530.2%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Exactly 216.6%

Away Over 2.510.1%

Away 3+ Goals10.1%

Home Exactly 18.9%

Home Exactly 02.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away81.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home67.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away67.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away49.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)49.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home49.1%

Home to win by 3+49.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away31.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.5%

Away to win by 14.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.6%

Away to win by 21.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.574.0%

BTTS & Over 2.561.4%

Home & BTTS50.9%

Home & No BTTS31.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

Draw & BTTS8.7%

Home & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.4%

Away & Over 2.55.4%

Away & BTTS5.1%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & No BTTS1.6%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.8%

HT Home Win66.5%

HT Over 1.564.2%

HT/FT Home/Home63.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.535.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score32.1%

HT Draw22.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.3%

HT Under 0.511.2%

HT Away Win10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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