UEFA Champions League

Celtic vs Lask Linz

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Aug 19

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Celtic 77.7% Draw 14.9% Lask Linz 7.4%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 92.6% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 7.4% on the only losing outcome.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

92.6%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

7.4%

Only the uncovered result loses

Celtic

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 17:6 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1

Lask Linz

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📈 Probability Breakdown

Celtic win77.7%

Draw14.9%

Lask Linz win7.4%

Over 1.5 goals88.9%

Over 2.5 goals70.9%

Over 3.5 goals49.8%

Both teams to score54.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.5%

Draw No Bet - Home90.5%

Home or Away (12)86.5%

Home Win78.2%

Both Halves Over 0.570.1%

Goal in Both Halves70.1%

Draw or Away (X2)21.5%

Draw13.3%

Draw No Bet - Away9.5%

Exactly 1 Goal9.3%

Away Win8.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.8%

Under 5.5 Goals83.7%

Over 2.5 Goals70.7%

Under 4.5 Goals69.6%

2-4 Goals57.4%

Under 3.5 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals49.7%

4+ Goals49.7%

1-3 Goals47.5%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals38.1%

Over 4.5 Goals30.4%

Under 2.5 Goals29.3%

1-2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.2%

Over 5.5 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.9%

Away Team to Score56.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)53.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.8%

Home Clean Sheet43.2%

Home Win to Nil40.7%

Away Clean Sheet5.9%

Away Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.9%

Home Over 1.577.2%

Away Over 0.556.5%

Home Over 2.553.6%

Home 3+ Goals53.6%

Away Exactly 043.2%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Away Over 1.520.4%

Home Exactly 116.7%

Away Exactly 215.1%

Home Exactly 05.9%

Away Over 2.55.3%

Away 3+ Goals5.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)58.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home58.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)41.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away41.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.2%

Home to win by 3+37.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.1%

Home to win by 221.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 119.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.9%

Away to win by 15.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.8%

Away to win by 21.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.560.8%

BTTS & Over 2.547.1%

Home & No BTTS40.7%

Home & BTTS37.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.0%

Home & Under 2.517.5%

Draw & BTTS10.7%

Draw & Under 2.58.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Away & Over 2.55.2%

Away & BTTS4.9%

Draw & Over 2.54.7%

Away & No BTTS3.3%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.8%

HT Home Win59.6%

HT/FT Home/Home55.9%

HT Under 1.550.8%

HT Over 1.549.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw29.5%

HT Both Teams Score22.6%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.1%

HT Away Win10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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