Scotland · Premiership

Celtic vs Rangers

Kick-off 12:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Celtic 57.5% Draw 21.2% Rangers 21.3%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Celtic: 15 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

Celtic

W W L W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 14:5 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Rangers

W W W W D L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Celtic 1wins ·3 draws ·Rangers 1wins

Celtic 3-1 RangersMay 10, 2026

Celtic 2-2 RangersMar 1, 2026

Celtic 1-3 RangersJan 3, 2026

Celtic 0-0 RangersAug 31, 2025

Celtic 1-1 RangersMay 4, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Celtic win57.5%

Draw21.2%

Rangers win21.3%

Over 1.5 goals84.0%

Over 2.5 goals63.7%

Over 3.5 goals41.5%

Both teams to score64.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

85.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.2%

Home or Away (12)83.5%

Draw No Bet - Home81.3%

Both Halves Over 0.574.6%

Goal in Both Halves74.6%

Home Win67.9%

Draw or Away (X2)31.9%

Draw No Bet - Away18.7%

Draw16.3%

Away Win15.6%

Exactly 1 Goal7.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.9%

Under 5.5 Goals78.2%

Over 2.5 Goals76.4%

Under 4.5 Goals62.5%

Over 3.5 Goals57.1%

4+ Goals57.1%

2-4 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals42.9%

1-3 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals38.9%

Over 4.5 Goals37.5%

2-3 Goals33.8%

Under 2.5 Goals23.6%

Over 5.5 Goals21.8%

1-2 Goals21.6%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals14.4%

Under 1.5 Goals9.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.4%

Away Team to Score72.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.5%

Home Clean Sheet27.6%

Home Win to Nil25.8%

Away Clean Sheet6.4%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.4%

Home Over 1.575.8%

Away Over 0.572.2%

Home Over 2.551.6%

Home 3+ Goals51.6%

Away Over 1.536.7%

Away Exactly 135.5%

Away Exactly 027.6%

Home Exactly 224.2%

Away Exactly 222.8%

Home Exactly 117.6%

Away Over 2.513.9%

Away 3+ Goals13.9%

Home Exactly 06.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.6%

Home to win by 3+28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 219.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.5%

Away to win by 19.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 24.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.3%

Home & Over 2.556.4%

Home & BTTS42.1%

Home & No BTTS25.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.2%

Draw & BTTS14.5%

Away & Over 2.511.8%

Home & Under 2.511.6%

Away & BTTS10.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

Draw & Under 2.58.0%

BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.53.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.7%

HT Over 1.554.1%

HT Home Win52.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT/FT Home/Home46.7%

HT Under 1.545.9%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score31.2%

HT Draw30.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT Away Win17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT Under 0.516.3%

HT/FT Away/Away8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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