Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Cercle Brugge 37.4% Draw 25.1% Anderlecht 37.5%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.9%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Anderlecht: 8 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.9%

Exact-score model probability

Cercle Brugge

D D L L W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 14:14 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Anderlecht

W W L W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Cercle Brugge 1wins ·1 draws ·Anderlecht 3wins

Cercle Brugge 3-2 AnderlechtMar 22, 2026

Cercle Brugge 0-2 AnderlechtAug 3, 2025

Cercle Brugge 0-3 AnderlechtMar 16, 2025

Cercle Brugge 0-5 AnderlechtNov 10, 2024

Cercle Brugge 1-1 AnderlechtApr 28, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cercle Brugge win37.4%

Draw25.1%

Anderlecht win37.5%

Over 1.5 goals85.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.7%

Over 3.5 goals41.7%

Both teams to score92.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.2%

Home Team to Score

90.9%

Home Over 0.5

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.5%

Goal in Both Halves86.5%

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Draw or Away (X2)66.9%

Draw No Bet - Away60.4%

Home or Draw (1X)49.8%

Away Win49.7%

Draw No Bet - Home39.6%

Home Win32.6%

Draw17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.7%

Over 2.5 Goals90.1%

Over 3.5 Goals78.2%

4+ Goals78.2%

Over 4.5 Goals62.2%

Under 5.5 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals45.0%

Under 4.5 Goals37.8%

2-4 Goals34.4%

3-4 Goals27.8%

Under 3.5 Goals21.8%

1-3 Goals20.9%

2-3 Goals18.4%

Exactly 3 Goals11.8%

Under 2.5 Goals9.9%

1-2 Goals9.0%

Exactly 2 Goals6.6%

Under 1.5 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.4%

Home Team to Score90.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.9%

Away Clean Sheet8.7%

Away Win to Nil8.2%

Home Clean Sheet5.2%

Home Win to Nil4.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.4%

Home Over 0.590.9%

Away Over 1.579.1%

Home Over 1.569.7%

Away Over 2.556.4%

Away 3+ Goals56.4%

Home Over 2.543.8%

Home 3+ Goals43.8%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Home Exactly 121.2%

Away Exactly 115.3%

Home Exactly 08.7%

Away Exactly 05.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home49.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)49.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away32.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.7%

Away to win by 3+18.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 114.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.9%

Away to win by 213.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.4%

Home to win by 29.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.1%

Home to win by 3+9.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.9%

Away & Over 2.546.4%

Away & BTTS41.5%

Home & Over 2.530.2%

Home & BTTS27.9%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

Away & No BTTS8.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.2%

Home & No BTTS4.7%

Draw & Under 2.53.7%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.2%

HT Over 1.569.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.4%

HT Both Teams Score49.1%

HT Away Win42.0%

HT/FT Away/Away32.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win30.7%

HT Under 1.530.2%

HT Draw27.2%

HT/FT Home/Home20.3%

Equal Goals Each Half17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT Under 0.58.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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