Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

38% confidence

Cercle Brugge 33.6% Draw 28.2% Lommel United 38.2%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

76%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 76.1% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Lommel United: 8 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

76.1%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Cercle Brugge high-scoring games

100%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Lommel United high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Cercle Brugge

D D L L W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 14:14 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Lommel United

L D D W W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cercle Brugge win33.6%

Draw28.2%

Lommel United win38.2%

Over 1.5 goals76.1%

Over 2.5 goals96.3%

Over 3.5 goals28.3%

Both teams to score93.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.9%

Goal in Both Halves92.9%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Home or Draw (1X)57.7%

Draw or Away (X2)56.4%

Draw No Bet - Home50.8%

Draw No Bet - Away49.2%

Home Win42.1%

Away Win40.7%

Draw15.7%

Exactly 1 Goal0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals94.8%

Over 3.5 Goals88.8%

4+ Goals88.8%

Over 4.5 Goals78.7%

Over 5.5 Goals65.0%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Under 5.5 Goals35.0%

Under 4.5 Goals21.3%

2-4 Goals18.9%

3-4 Goals16.2%

Under 3.5 Goals11.2%

1-3 Goals9.5%

2-3 Goals8.7%

Exactly 3 Goals6.0%

Under 2.5 Goals5.2%

1-2 Goals3.5%

Exactly 2 Goals2.7%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.1%

Away Team to Score94.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.3%

Home Clean Sheet3.5%

Home Win to Nil3.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.3%

Away Win to Nil3.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.1%

Away Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.583.8%

Away Over 1.583.3%

Home Over 2.564.6%

Home 3+ Goals64.6%

Away Over 2.563.7%

Away 3+ Goals63.7%

Away Exactly 219.5%

Home Exactly 219.2%

Away Exactly 111.7%

Home Exactly 111.3%

Away Exactly 03.5%

Home Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.0%

Home to win by 3+16.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.1%

Away to win by 3+15.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.4%

Away to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 211.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.2%

Away to win by 211.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.4%

Home & Over 2.541.0%

Away & Over 2.539.6%

Home & BTTS38.7%

Away & BTTS37.5%

Draw & BTTS15.6%

Draw & Over 2.514.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.4%

Home & No BTTS3.4%

Away & No BTTS3.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.3%

Draw & Under 2.51.5%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Home & Under 2.51.1%

Away & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.2%

HT Over 1.580.6%

HT Both Teams Score60.9%

2nd Half More Goals52.4%

HT Home Win38.4%

HT Away Win37.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Home/Home27.9%

HT/FT Away/Away26.9%

HT Draw24.1%

HT Under 1.519.4%

Equal Goals Each Half15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT Under 0.54.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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