Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Aug 14

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Cercle Brugge 37.9% Draw 26.6% St. Truiden 35.5%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 88%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Cercle Brugge: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Cercle Brugge

D L L W W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 14:11 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.83

St. Truiden

D W L D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Cercle Brugge 1wins ·2 draws ·St. Truiden 2wins

Cercle Brugge 1-2 St. TruidenMar 8, 2026

Cercle Brugge 1-1 St. TruidenAug 29, 2025

Cercle Brugge 3-1 St. TruidenApr 26, 2025

Cercle Brugge 1-3 St. TruidenApr 12, 2025

Cercle Brugge 1-1 St. TruidenDec 27, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cercle Brugge win37.9%

Draw26.6%

St. Truiden win35.5%

Over 1.5 goals81.4%

Over 2.5 goals92.0%

Over 3.5 goals35.5%

Both teams to score88.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.7%

Home Over 0.5

91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.0%

Both Halves Over 0.581.0%

Goal in Both Halves81.0%

Home or Draw (1X)65.5%

Draw No Bet - Home57.6%

Draw or Away (X2)53.2%

Home Win46.6%

Draw No Bet - Away42.4%

Away Win34.4%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals84.2%

Over 3.5 Goals68.3%

4+ Goals68.3%

Under 5.5 Goals67.7%

Under 4.5 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.7%

2-4 Goals44.8%

3-4 Goals34.6%

Over 5.5 Goals32.3%

Under 3.5 Goals31.7%

1-3 Goals30.6%

2-3 Goals26.2%

Exactly 3 Goals16.0%

Under 2.5 Goals15.8%

1-2 Goals14.7%

Exactly 2 Goals10.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.7%

Away Team to Score88.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.9%

Home Clean Sheet11.5%

Home Win to Nil10.6%

Away Clean Sheet8.2%

Away Win to Nil7.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.7%

Away Over 0.588.3%

Home Over 1.571.2%

Away Over 1.563.4%

Home Over 2.545.6%

Home 3+ Goals45.6%

Away Over 2.536.5%

Away 3+ Goals36.5%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 124.9%

Home Exactly 120.5%

Away Exactly 011.5%

Home Exactly 08.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.5%

Away to win by 115.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.2%

Home to win by 3+15.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 213.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.8%

Away to win by 3+8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.0%

Home & Over 2.541.3%

Home & BTTS36.0%

Away & Over 2.530.1%

Away & BTTS27.1%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

Home & No BTTS10.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%

Away & No BTTS7.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

Home & Under 2.55.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & Under 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.7%

HT Over 1.562.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Both Teams Score42.0%

HT Home Win39.1%

HT Under 1.538.0%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Away Win31.1%

HT/FT Home/Home30.0%

HT Draw29.9%

HT/FT Away/Away21.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT Under 0.512.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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