Italy · Serie B

Cesena vs Avellino

Kick-off 16:15 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Cesena 73.2% Draw 18.7% Avellino 8.1%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 13.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.6%

Exact-score model probability

Cesena

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Avellino

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 1:4 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cesena win73.2%

Draw18.7%

Avellino win8.1%

Over 1.5 goals80.6%

Over 2.5 goals56.9%

Over 3.5 goals34.5%

Both teams to score44.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

92.0%

Home or Draw (1X)

90.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)90.8%

Draw No Bet - Home89.1%

Home or Away (12)83.3%

Home Win74.2%

Both Halves Over 0.559.3%

Goal in Both Halves59.3%

Draw or Away (X2)25.8%

Draw16.6%

Exactly 1 Goal15.3%

Draw No Bet - Away10.9%

Away Win9.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.8%

Under 5.5 Goals92.0%

Under 4.5 Goals82.1%

Over 1.5 Goals79.5%

Under 3.5 Goals65.5%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.3%

Over 2.5 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.0%

Under 2.5 Goals43.1%

3-4 Goals39.0%

1-2 Goals37.9%

Over 3.5 Goals34.5%

4+ Goals34.5%

Exactly 2 Goals22.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.5%

Over 4.5 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals8.0%

Under 0.5 Goals5.2%

Exactly 0 Goals5.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.2%

Home Clean Sheet51.3%

Away Team to Score48.6%

Home Win to Nil46.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.8%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Home Over 1.566.9%

Away Exactly 051.3%

Away Over 0.548.6%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Exactly 134.2%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Over 1.514.4%

Away Exactly 211.4%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Away Over 2.53.0%

Away 3+ Goals3.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.6%

Home to win by 3+28.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.6%

Home to win by 123.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.1%

Home to win by 222.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.8%

Away to win by 16.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 21.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.548.7%

Home & No BTTS46.1%

BTTS & Over 2.535.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.2%

Home & BTTS28.0%

Home & Under 2.525.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.0%

Draw & Under 2.513.0%

Draw & BTTS11.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Away & No BTTS4.9%

Away & Under 2.54.6%

Away & Over 2.54.5%

Away & BTTS4.2%

Draw & Over 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.7%

HT Under 1.561.4%

HT Home Win54.2%

HT/FT Home/Home50.5%

2nd Half More Goals44.5%

HT Over 1.538.6%

HT Draw35.1%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.3%

Equal Goals Each Half24.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.9%

HT Both Teams Score16.7%

HT Away Win10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.5%

HT/FT Away/Away4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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