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Italy · Serie B

Cesena vs Catanzaro

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Nov 7
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
49% confidence
Cesena 34.6% Draw 16.8% Catanzaro 48.6%
Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 91%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
95%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
91%
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
83%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-3
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
5.1%
Exact-score model probability
Cesena
L D
Form 0-1-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2
Catanzaro
L L W W L L
Form 2-0-4 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cesena win34.6%
Draw16.8%
Catanzaro win48.6%
Over 1.5 goals98.8%
Over 2.5 goals94.6%
Over 3.5 goals86.5%
Both teams to score91.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5
90.8%
Goal in Both Halves
90.8%
Both Teams Score (GG)
90.0%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.590.8%
Goal in Both Halves90.8%
Home or Away (12)82.9%
Draw or Away (X2)64.5%
Draw No Bet - Away58.4%
Home or Draw (1X)50.6%
Away Win48.4%
Draw No Bet - Home41.6%
Home Win34.5%
Draw16.1%
Exactly 1 Goal1.2%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.8%
Over 1.5 Goals97.5%
Over 2.5 Goals93.6%
Over 3.5 Goals85.6%
4+ Goals85.6%
Over 4.5 Goals73.2%
Over 5.5 Goals57.7%
Total Goals Odd49.5%
Total Goals Even49.5%
Under 5.5 Goals42.3%
Under 4.5 Goals26.8%
2-4 Goals24.4%
3-4 Goals20.5%
Under 3.5 Goals14.4%
1-3 Goals13.2%
2-3 Goals11.9%
Exactly 3 Goals8.0%
Under 2.5 Goals6.4%
1-2 Goals5.1%
Exactly 2 Goals3.9%
Under 1.5 Goals2.5%
Under 0.5 Goals1.2%
Exactly 0 Goals0.2%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score95.4%
Home Team to Score93.4%
Both Teams Score (GG)90.0%
No Both Teams Score (NG)10.0%
Away Clean Sheet5.6%
Away Win to Nil5.4%
Home Clean Sheet3.6%
Home Win to Nil3.4%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.595.4%
Home Over 0.593.4%
Away Over 1.583.6%
Home Over 1.577.3%
Away Over 2.563.8%
Away 3+ Goals63.8%
Home Over 2.554.1%
Home 3+ Goals54.1%
Home Exactly 223.1%
Away Exactly 219.8%
Home Exactly 116.1%
Away Exactly 111.9%
Home Exactly 05.6%
Away Exactly 03.6%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.9%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.4%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.9%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.9%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.0%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.7%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.2%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.5%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.5%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.6%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)48.4%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.5%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)32.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away32.5%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.8%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.3%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.3%
Away to win by 3+19.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.9%
Away to win by 115.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.7%
Home to win by 113.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.2%
Away to win by 213.2%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.0%
Home to win by 3+11.0%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.8%
Home to win by 29.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.5%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.1%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.8%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.7%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.588.1%
Away & Over 2.546.6%
Away & BTTS43.0%
Home & Over 2.533.1%
Home & BTTS31.1%
Draw & BTTS15.9%
Draw & Over 2.514.0%
No BTTS & Over 2.55.6%
Away & No BTTS5.4%
Home & No BTTS3.4%
No BTTS & Under 2.53.4%
Draw & Under 2.52.1%
BTTS & Under 2.51.9%
Away & Under 2.51.8%
Home & Under 2.51.4%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.593.9%
HT Over 1.576.8%
HT Both Teams Score56.4%
2nd Half More Goals51.7%
HT Away Win42.1%
HT Home Win32.7%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT/FT Away/Away32.4%
HT Draw25.2%
HT Under 1.523.2%
HT/FT Home/Home21.9%
Equal Goals Each Half15.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%
HT/FT Draw/Home8.4%
HT Under 0.56.1%
HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%
HT/FT Home/Away5.6%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%
HT/FT Away/Home4.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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