Italy · Serie B

Cesena vs Cremonese

Kick-off 18:30 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Cesena 53.8% Draw 20.7% Cremonese 25.5%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Cesena

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Cremonese

L W W L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cesena win53.8%

Draw20.7%

Cremonese win25.5%

Over 1.5 goals92.8%

Over 2.5 goals78.5%

Over 3.5 goals59.8%

Both teams to score75.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.9%

Home Team to Score

91.4%

Home Over 0.5

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.9%

Both Halves Over 0.576.1%

Goal in Both Halves76.1%

Home or Draw (1X)73.7%

Draw No Bet - Home67.6%

Home Win54.6%

Draw or Away (X2)45.3%

Draw No Bet - Away32.4%

Away Win26.2%

Draw19.0%

Exactly 1 Goal6.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.9%

Over 2.5 Goals78.4%

Under 5.5 Goals76.0%

Over 3.5 Goals59.7%

Under 4.5 Goals59.7%

4+ Goals59.7%

2-4 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals40.3%

Over 4.5 Goals40.3%

1-3 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals38.2%

2-3 Goals32.1%

Over 5.5 Goals24.0%

Under 2.5 Goals21.6%

1-2 Goals19.9%

Exactly 3 Goals18.7%

Exactly 2 Goals13.5%

Under 1.5 Goals8.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.4%

Away Team to Score81.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.3%

Home Clean Sheet18.2%

Home Win to Nil16.7%

Away Clean Sheet8.5%

Away Win to Nil6.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.4%

Away Over 0.581.6%

Home Over 1.570.5%

Away Over 1.550.6%

Home Over 2.544.7%

Home 3+ Goals44.7%

Away Exactly 131.0%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Away Over 2.524.2%

Away 3+ Goals24.2%

Home Exactly 120.9%

Away Exactly 018.2%

Home Exactly 08.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)26.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 119.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.8%

Home to win by 3+18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 113.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.6%

Away to win by 27.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.0%

Away to win by 3+5.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.2%

Home & Over 2.546.1%

Home & BTTS37.9%

Away & Over 2.521.3%

Away & BTTS19.3%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Home & No BTTS16.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.2%

Home & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.0%

Away & No BTTS6.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & Under 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.7%

HT Over 1.555.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Under 1.544.1%

HT Home Win43.5%

HT Both Teams Score35.8%

HT/FT Home/Home35.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.4%

HT Away Win25.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.9%

HT/FT Away/Away15.5%

HT Under 0.515.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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