USA · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

CF Montreal 30.7% Draw 25.6% Atlanta United FC 43.7%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atlanta United FC: 4 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.2%

Exact-score model probability

CF Montreal

L L L L W D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Atlanta United FC

W D L L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

CF Montreal 0wins ·0 draws ·Atlanta United FC 1wins

CF Montreal 1-3 Atlanta United FCMay 3, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

CF Montreal win30.7%

Draw25.6%

Atlanta United FC win43.7%

Over 1.5 goals84.8%

Over 2.5 goals62.9%

Over 3.5 goals40.7%

Both teams to score65.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Cards

89.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.0%

Draw or Away (X2)68.0%

Both Halves Over 0.563.9%

Goal in Both Halves63.9%

Draw No Bet - Away58.5%

Home or Draw (1X)54.9%

Away Win45.0%

Draw No Bet - Home41.5%

Home Win32.0%

Draw23.0%

Exactly 1 Goal12.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Under 5.5 Goals89.0%

Over 1.5 Goals83.4%

Under 4.5 Goals77.3%

Over 2.5 Goals62.9%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 3.5 Goals59.3%

1-3 Goals55.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.7%

Over 3.5 Goals40.7%

4+ Goals40.7%

3-4 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals37.1%

1-2 Goals33.2%

Over 4.5 Goals22.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 2 Goals20.5%

Under 1.5 Goals16.6%

Over 5.5 Goals11.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score83.1%

Home Team to Score76.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.1%

Away Clean Sheet23.1%

Away Win to Nil19.2%

Home Clean Sheet16.9%

Home Win to Nil13.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.583.1%

Home Over 0.576.9%

Away Over 1.553.0%

Home Over 1.543.1%

Home Exactly 133.8%

Away Exactly 130.1%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Over 2.526.3%

Away 3+ Goals26.3%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Home Exactly 023.1%

Home Over 2.518.3%

Home 3+ Goals18.3%

Away Exactly 016.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.9%

Away to win by 120.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 213.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.6%

Away to win by 3+10.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 29.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.5%

Home to win by 3+5.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.7%

Away & Over 2.532.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.9%

Away & BTTS25.9%

Home & Over 2.522.0%

Away & No BTTS19.2%

Draw & BTTS19.1%

Home & BTTS18.9%

Draw & Under 2.514.1%

Away & Under 2.513.1%

Home & No BTTS13.0%

BTTS & Under 2.510.2%

Home & Under 2.59.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.2%

Draw & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.8%

HT Under 1.557.2%

2nd Half More Goals45.4%

HT Over 1.542.8%

HT Draw37.2%

HT Away Win35.5%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT/FT Away/Away27.7%

HT Home Win27.3%

HT Both Teams Score26.6%

HT Under 0.523.2%

Equal Goals Each Half22.9%

HT/FT Home/Home18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners73.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners69.2%

Home Most Corners68.5%

Over 8.5 Corners62.8%

Under 10.5 Corners62.5%

Over 9.5 Corners50.0%

Under 9.5 Corners50.0%

Over 10.5 Corners37.5%

Under 8.5 Corners37.2%

Away Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Over 11.5 Corners26.6%

Away Most Corners20.8%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards89.8%

Under 4.5 Cards78.7%

Over 2.5 Cards61.3%

Under 3.5 Cards61.0%

Over 3.5 Cards39.0%

Under 2.5 Cards38.7%

Over 4.5 Cards21.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.7%

Over 5.5 Cards10.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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