USA · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Charlotte

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Sep 10

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

CF Montreal 7.8% Draw 13.6% Charlotte 78.6%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Charlotte: 5 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

CF Montreal

L L W D D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:14 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.33

Charlotte

D W W D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

CF Montreal win7.8%

Draw13.6%

Charlotte win78.6%

Over 1.5 goals92.1%

Over 2.5 goals77.5%

Over 3.5 goals58.3%

Both teams to score60.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

91.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)91.1%

Draw No Bet - Away90.4%

Home or Away (12)87.3%

Away Win79.0%

Both Halves Over 0.575.3%

Goal in Both Halves75.3%

Home or Draw (1X)20.6%

Draw12.2%

Draw No Bet - Home9.6%

Home Win8.4%

Exactly 1 Goal6.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals91.0%

Under 5.5 Goals77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals77.1%

Under 4.5 Goals61.5%

Over 3.5 Goals58.0%

4+ Goals58.0%

2-4 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals42.0%

1-3 Goals39.8%

3-4 Goals38.6%

Over 4.5 Goals38.5%

2-3 Goals33.0%

Under 2.5 Goals22.9%

Over 5.5 Goals22.5%

1-2 Goals20.8%

Exactly 3 Goals19.1%

Exactly 2 Goals14.0%

Under 1.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.1%

Home Team to Score62.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.7%

Away Clean Sheet37.5%

Away Win to Nil35.8%

Home Clean Sheet4.4%

Home Win to Nil2.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.1%

Away Over 1.581.3%

Home Over 0.562.1%

Away Over 2.559.8%

Away 3+ Goals59.8%

Home Exactly 037.5%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Over 1.525.5%

Away Exactly 221.5%

Home Exactly 217.9%

Away Exactly 113.8%

Home Over 2.57.6%

Home 3+ Goals7.6%

Away Exactly 04.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away91.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)79.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away60.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)59.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home59.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away40.5%

Away to win by 3+40.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)38.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home38.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away23.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home20.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 220.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.7%

Home to win by 15.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.0%

Home to win by 22.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.7%

Home to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.565.7%

BTTS & Over 2.554.2%

Away & BTTS43.2%

Away & No BTTS35.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.4%

Away & Under 2.513.3%

Draw & BTTS10.5%

Draw & Under 2.56.7%

Home & Over 2.56.0%

Home & BTTS5.6%

Draw & Over 2.55.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & No BTTS2.8%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.2%

HT Away Win61.3%

HT/FT Away/Away57.5%

HT Over 1.555.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.0%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw27.2%

HT Both Teams Score26.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.0%

HT Under 0.515.8%

HT Home Win11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Home/Home4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners78.7%

Under 10.5 Corners68.6%

Over 8.5 Corners56.6%

Under 9.5 Corners56.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Home Most Corners54.3%

Over 9.5 Corners43.5%

Under 8.5 Corners43.4%

Away Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Away Most Corners32.8%

Over 10.5 Corners31.4%

Over 11.5 Corners21.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards89.8%

Under 4.5 Cards78.7%

Over 2.5 Cards61.3%

Under 3.5 Cards61.0%

Over 3.5 Cards39.0%

Under 2.5 Cards38.7%

Over 4.5 Cards21.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.7%

Over 5.5 Cards10.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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