USA · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

CF Montreal 34.0% Draw 21.8% Columbus Crew 44.2%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to CF Montreal: 4 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

CF Montreal

L L L L W D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Columbus Crew

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

CF Montreal 1wins ·0 draws ·Columbus Crew 0wins

CF Montreal 2-1 Columbus CrewAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

CF Montreal win34.0%

Draw21.8%

Columbus Crew win44.2%

Over 1.5 goals93.0%

Over 2.5 goals78.9%

Over 3.5 goals60.3%

Both teams to score77.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.7%

Away Team to Score

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.9%

Both Halves Over 0.576.4%

Goal in Both Halves76.4%

Draw or Away (X2)65.1%

Draw No Bet - Away56.4%

Home or Draw (1X)54.9%

Away Win45.1%

Draw No Bet - Home43.6%

Home Win34.8%

Draw20.0%

Exactly 1 Goal6.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.1%

Over 2.5 Goals78.8%

Under 5.5 Goals75.5%

Over 3.5 Goals60.2%

4+ Goals60.2%

Under 4.5 Goals59.2%

2-4 Goals51.3%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 4.5 Goals40.8%

Under 3.5 Goals39.8%

1-3 Goals38.2%

3-4 Goals38.0%

2-3 Goals31.8%

Over 5.5 Goals24.5%

Under 2.5 Goals21.2%

1-2 Goals19.6%

Exactly 3 Goals18.6%

Exactly 2 Goals13.3%

Under 1.5 Goals7.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.2%

Home Team to Score85.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.4%

Away Clean Sheet14.1%

Away Win to Nil12.6%

Home Clean Sheet10.7%

Home Win to Nil9.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.2%

Home Over 0.585.8%

Away Over 1.565.3%

Home Over 1.558.3%

Away Over 2.538.5%

Away 3+ Goals38.5%

Home Over 2.531.2%

Home 3+ Goals31.2%

Home Exactly 127.6%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 123.9%

Home Exactly 014.1%

Away Exactly 010.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.6%

Away to win by 118.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.3%

Away to win by 213.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.1%

Away to win by 3+13.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.3%

Home to win by 210.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.2%

Home to win by 3+8.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.0%

Away & Over 2.537.9%

Away & BTTS32.5%

Home & Over 2.529.0%

Home & BTTS25.6%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.5%

Away & No BTTS12.6%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

Home & No BTTS9.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.58.1%

Away & Under 2.57.1%

BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Home & Under 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.8%

HT Over 1.556.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.8%

HT Away Win37.3%

HT Both Teams Score37.1%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.9%

HT Home Win30.8%

HT/FT Away/Away28.5%

HT/FT Home/Home21.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT Under 0.515.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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