USA · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs DC United

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

CF Montreal 20.0% Draw 24.8% DC United 55.2%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score (GG)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to DC United: 3 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.3%

Exact-score model probability

CF Montreal

D L L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

DC United

D W D D W D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

CF Montreal 0wins ·1 draws ·DC United 0wins

CF Montreal 4-4 DC UnitedMay 24, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

CF Montreal win20.0%

Draw24.8%

DC United win55.2%

Over 1.5 goals81.6%

Over 2.5 goals57.9%

Over 3.5 goals35.5%

Both teams to score58.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Cards

91.6%

Under 5.5 Goals

91.5%

Away Team to Score

85.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)78.7%

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Draw No Bet - Away72.6%

Both Halves Over 0.560.0%

Goal in Both Halves60.0%

Away Win56.6%

Home or Draw (1X)43.4%

Draw No Bet - Home27.4%

Draw22.1%

Home Win21.3%

Exactly 1 Goal14.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.5%

Under 4.5 Goals81.4%

Over 1.5 Goals80.2%

Under 3.5 Goals64.5%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.6%

Over 2.5 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.7%

Under 2.5 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals39.3%

1-2 Goals37.2%

Over 3.5 Goals35.5%

4+ Goals35.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals19.8%

Over 4.5 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals4.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.3%

Home Team to Score66.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.3%

Away Clean Sheet33.5%

Away Win to Nil28.6%

Home Clean Sheet14.7%

Home Win to Nil9.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.3%

Home Over 0.566.4%

Away Over 1.557.1%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 033.5%

Away Over 2.530.1%

Away 3+ Goals30.1%

Home Over 1.529.8%

Away Exactly 128.2%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 220.0%

Away Exactly 014.7%

Home Over 2.59.8%

Home 3+ Goals9.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home43.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.5%

Away to win by 123.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 217.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.8%

Away to win by 3+15.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 113.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.6%

Home to win by 25.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.3%

Home to win by 3+2.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.546.3%

Away & Over 2.538.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.531.8%

Away & No BTTS28.6%

Away & BTTS28.0%

Away & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Draw & Under 2.515.3%

Home & Over 2.513.0%

Home & BTTS11.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.5%

BTTS & Under 2.510.3%

Home & No BTTS9.8%

Home & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.2%

HT Under 1.560.8%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT Away Win42.2%

HT Over 1.539.2%

HT Draw38.0%

HT/FT Away/Away36.0%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.525.8%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT Both Teams Score22.4%

HT Home Win19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.6%

HT/FT Home/Home11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners80.3%

Under 10.5 Corners70.6%

Away Most Corners60.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners58.8%

Under 9.5 Corners58.7%

Over 8.5 Corners54.4%

Under 8.5 Corners45.6%

Over 9.5 Corners41.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Over 10.5 Corners29.4%

Home Most Corners26.9%

Over 11.5 Corners19.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards91.6%

Under 4.5 Cards81.5%

Under 3.5 Cards64.7%

Over 2.5 Cards57.7%

Under 2.5 Cards42.3%

Over 3.5 Cards35.3%

Over 4.5 Cards18.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.0%

Over 5.5 Cards8.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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