USA · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

CF Montreal 47.6% Draw 21.5% FC Cincinnati 30.9%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to FC Cincinnati: 4 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

CF Montreal

L L L L W D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

FC Cincinnati

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:16 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

CF Montreal win47.6%

Draw21.5%

FC Cincinnati win30.9%

Over 1.5 goals93.0%

Over 2.5 goals78.8%

Over 3.5 goals60.2%

Both teams to score77.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Cards

91.6%

Home Team to Score

90.1%

Home Over 0.5

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.1%

Both Halves Over 0.576.4%

Goal in Both Halves76.4%

Home or Draw (1X)68.2%

Draw No Bet - Home60.4%

Draw or Away (X2)51.5%

Home Win48.4%

Draw No Bet - Away39.6%

Away Win31.7%

Draw19.8%

Exactly 1 Goal6.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.1%

Over 2.5 Goals78.8%

Under 5.5 Goals75.6%

Over 3.5 Goals60.2%

4+ Goals60.2%

Under 4.5 Goals59.3%

2-4 Goals51.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals40.7%

Under 3.5 Goals39.8%

1-3 Goals38.2%

3-4 Goals38.0%

2-3 Goals31.9%

Over 5.5 Goals24.4%

Under 2.5 Goals21.2%

1-2 Goals19.6%

Exactly 3 Goals18.6%

Exactly 2 Goals13.3%

Under 1.5 Goals7.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.1%

Away Team to Score84.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.8%

Home Clean Sheet15.4%

Home Win to Nil13.9%

Away Clean Sheet9.8%

Away Win to Nil8.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.1%

Away Over 0.584.5%

Home Over 1.567.2%

Away Over 1.555.8%

Home Over 2.540.8%

Home 3+ Goals40.8%

Away Over 2.528.8%

Away Exactly 128.8%

Away 3+ Goals28.8%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 122.8%

Away Exactly 015.4%

Home Exactly 09.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 119.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.5%

Away to win by 115.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.0%

Home to win by 3+15.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.3%

Home to win by 214.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 29.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.0%

Away to win by 3+7.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.6%

Home & Over 2.540.8%

Home & BTTS34.6%

Away & Over 2.526.2%

Away & BTTS23.4%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.6%

Home & No BTTS13.9%

Draw & Over 2.511.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.1%

Away & No BTTS8.3%

Draw & Under 2.58.1%

Home & Under 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.8%

HT Over 1.556.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.8%

HT Home Win39.5%

HT Both Teams Score36.9%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.7%

HT/FT Home/Home31.0%

HT Away Win28.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.8%

HT/FT Away/Away19.2%

HT Under 0.515.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners88.8%

Under 10.5 Corners81.6%

Under 9.5 Corners71.7%

Under 8.5 Corners59.3%

Home Most Corners52.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners43.6%

Over 8.5 Corners40.7%

Away Most Corners33.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners30.6%

Over 9.5 Corners28.3%

Over 10.5 Corners18.4%

Over 11.5 Corners11.2%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards91.6%

Under 4.5 Cards81.5%

Under 3.5 Cards64.7%

Over 2.5 Cards57.7%

Under 2.5 Cards42.3%

Over 3.5 Cards35.3%

Over 4.5 Cards18.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.0%

Over 5.5 Cards8.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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