USA · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

CF Montreal 39.1% Draw 31.6% Los Angeles Galaxy 29.3%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to CF Montreal: 6 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.2%

Exact-score model probability

CF Montreal

W D D L L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1

Los Angeles Galaxy

W L D D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 3:8 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

CF Montreal win39.1%

Draw31.6%

Los Angeles Galaxy win29.3%

Over 1.5 goals68.6%

Over 2.5 goals40.3%

Over 3.5 goals20.0%

Both teams to score48.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.6%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)71.8%

Home or Draw (1X)69.0%

Draw or Away (X2)59.2%

Draw No Bet - Home56.9%

Both Halves Over 0.546.2%

Goal in Both Halves46.2%

Draw No Bet - Away43.1%

Home Win40.8%

Away Win31.0%

Draw28.2%

Exactly 1 Goal23.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.0%

Under 4.5 Goals91.6%

Over 0.5 Goals90.0%

Under 3.5 Goals80.0%

1-3 Goals69.9%

Over 1.5 Goals66.9%

Under 2.5 Goals59.7%

2-4 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.5%

1-2 Goals49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-3 Goals46.8%

Over 2.5 Goals40.3%

Under 1.5 Goals33.1%

3-4 Goals32.0%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.3%

Over 3.5 Goals20.0%

4+ Goals20.0%

Under 0.5 Goals10.0%

Exactly 0 Goals10.0%

Over 4.5 Goals8.4%

Over 5.5 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score71.3%

Away Team to Score65.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.3%

Home Clean Sheet35.0%

Away Clean Sheet28.7%

Home Win to Nil25.0%

Away Win to Nil18.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.571.3%

Away Over 0.565.0%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 135.8%

Home Over 1.535.5%

Away Exactly 035.0%

Home Exactly 028.7%

Away Over 1.528.2%

Home Exactly 222.4%

Away Exactly 219.3%

Home Over 2.513.1%

Home 3+ Goals13.1%

Away Over 2.59.0%

Away 3+ Goals9.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.8%

Home to win by 122.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.1%

Away to win by 119.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.9%

Home to win by 211.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.4%

Away to win by 28.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.2%

Home to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.5%

Away to win by 3+3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.546.5%

BTTS & Over 2.533.2%

Home & No BTTS25.0%

Draw & Under 2.523.2%

Home & Over 2.520.4%

Home & Under 2.520.4%

Away & No BTTS18.6%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Away & Under 2.516.1%

Home & BTTS15.8%

Away & Over 2.514.9%

BTTS & Under 2.513.2%

Away & BTTS12.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.2%

Draw & Over 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.3%

HT Over 0.564.4%

HT Draw45.6%

2nd Half More Goals41.6%

HT Under 0.535.6%

1st Half More Goals30.3%

HT Home Win30.2%

Equal Goals Each Half28.1%

HT Over 1.527.7%

HT Away Win24.2%

HT/FT Home/Home23.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.5%

HT/FT Away/Away17.4%

HT Both Teams Score16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners69.7%

Over 8.5 Corners66.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners61.6%

Under 10.5 Corners58.3%

Over 9.5 Corners54.2%

Home Most Corners52.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Under 9.5 Corners45.8%

Over 10.5 Corners41.7%

Away Most Corners35.5%

Under 8.5 Corners33.3%

Over 11.5 Corners30.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards78.5%

Over 2.5 Cards76.2%

Under 4.5 Cards62.9%

Over 3.5 Cards56.7%

Under 3.5 Cards43.3%

Over 4.5 Cards37.1%

Under 2.5 Cards23.8%

Over 5.5 Cards21.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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