USA · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Nashville SC

Kick-off 18:30 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

CF Montreal 8.7% Draw 13.4% Nashville SC 77.9%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 8.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Nashville SC: 4 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.1%

Exact-score model probability

CF Montreal

D L L L L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Nashville SC

D W W W W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 16:4 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

CF Montreal 0wins ·0 draws ·Nashville SC 1wins

CF Montreal 0-1 Nashville SCJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

CF Montreal win8.7%

Draw13.4%

Nashville SC win77.9%

Over 1.5 goals93.8%

Over 2.5 goals81.2%

Over 3.5 goals63.6%

Both teams to score65.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

90.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)90.1%

Draw No Bet - Away89.4%

Home or Away (12)87.2%

Both Halves Over 0.578.4%

Goal in Both Halves78.4%

Away Win77.9%

Home or Draw (1X)21.4%

Draw12.1%

Draw No Bet - Home10.6%

Home Win9.3%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals92.6%

Over 2.5 Goals80.7%

Under 5.5 Goals72.9%

Over 3.5 Goals63.2%

4+ Goals63.2%

Under 4.5 Goals56.0%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

2-4 Goals48.7%

Over 4.5 Goals44.0%

Under 3.5 Goals36.8%

3-4 Goals36.7%

1-3 Goals34.9%

2-3 Goals29.5%

Over 5.5 Goals27.1%

Under 2.5 Goals19.3%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.4%

Exactly 2 Goals12.0%

Under 1.5 Goals7.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.5%

Home Team to Score67.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.6%

Away Clean Sheet32.4%

Away Win to Nil31.1%

Home Clean Sheet3.8%

Home Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.5%

Away Over 1.583.1%

Home Over 0.567.0%

Away Over 2.562.7%

Away 3+ Goals62.7%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Home Exactly 032.4%

Home Over 1.530.7%

Home Exactly 220.4%

Away Exactly 220.4%

Away Exactly 112.5%

Home Over 2.510.3%

Home 3+ Goals10.3%

Away Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)77.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home75.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away60.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)58.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home58.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)40.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away40.7%

Away to win by 3+40.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)39.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home39.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away23.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.5%

Away to win by 219.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.1%

Home to win by 16.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.3%

Home to win by 22.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%

Home to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.567.2%

BTTS & Over 2.559.9%

Away & BTTS46.8%

Away & No BTTS31.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.1%

Draw & BTTS10.9%

Away & Under 2.510.7%

Home & Over 2.57.1%

Home & BTTS6.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

Draw & Under 2.55.8%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Home & No BTTS2.6%

Home & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Away Win61.1%

HT Over 1.558.7%

HT/FT Away/Away57.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score30.5%

HT Draw26.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.3%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT Home Win12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Home/Home5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners88.5%

Under 10.5 Corners81.2%

Under 9.5 Corners71.1%

Under 8.5 Corners58.7%

Home Most Corners46.9%

Over 8.5 Corners41.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Away Most Corners38.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners34.7%

Over 9.5 Corners28.9%

Over 10.5 Corners18.8%

Over 11.5 Corners11.5%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards96.1%

Under 4.5 Cards89.7%

Under 3.5 Cards76.6%

Under 2.5 Cards55.5%

Over 2.5 Cards44.5%

Over 3.5 Cards23.4%

Over 4.5 Cards10.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards9.8%

Over 5.5 Cards3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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