USA · Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs New England Revolution

Full time · 2:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

CF Montreal 12.4% Draw 37.2% New England Revolution 50.4%

Over 2.5 - 17% BTTS - 22%

✓ Pick was correct (2:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 87.6% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 12.4% on the only losing outcome.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to New England Revolution: 3 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

87.6%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

12.4%

Only the uncovered result loses

CF Montreal

L L D D L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

New England Revolution

W D L W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

CF Montreal win12.4%

Draw37.2%

New England Revolution win50.4%

Over 1.5 goals43.0%

Over 2.5 goals17.3%

Over 3.5 goals5.7%

Both teams to score22.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

86.4%

Draw or Away (X2)

86.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

86.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)86.3%

Draw No Bet - Away79.1%

Home or Away (12)65.3%

Away Win51.7%

Home or Draw (1X)48.3%

Draw34.7%

Exactly 1 Goal34.2%

Both Halves Over 0.525.8%

Goal in Both Halves25.8%

Draw No Bet - Home20.9%

Home Win13.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.6%

Under 4.5 Goals98.5%

Under 3.5 Goals94.3%

Under 2.5 Goals82.7%

Over 0.5 Goals76.0%

1-3 Goals70.3%

1-2 Goals58.7%

Under 1.5 Goals58.2%

Total Goals Even52.9%

Total Goals Odd47.1%

Over 1.5 Goals41.8%

2-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals36.1%

Exactly 2 Goals24.4%

Under 0.5 Goals24.0%

Exactly 0 Goals24.0%

Over 2.5 Goals17.3%

3-4 Goals15.8%

Exactly 3 Goals11.6%

Over 3.5 Goals5.7%

4+ Goals5.7%

Over 4.5 Goals1.5%

Over 5.5 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)79.2%

Away Clean Sheet67.8%

Away Team to Score64.7%

Away Win to Nil43.9%

Home Clean Sheet35.3%

Home Team to Score32.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)20.8%

Home Win to Nil11.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 067.8%

Away Over 0.564.7%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 035.3%

Home Over 0.532.2%

Away Over 1.527.9%

Home Exactly 126.3%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Away Over 2.58.8%

Away 3+ Goals8.8%

Home Over 1.55.8%

Home Exactly 25.1%

Home Over 2.50.7%

Home 3+ Goals0.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away86.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)51.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw30.3%

Away to win by 130.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 214.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 111.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.5%

Away to win by 3+6.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.1%

Home to win by 22.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.573.0%

Away & No BTTS43.9%

Away & Under 2.537.9%

Draw & Under 2.533.7%

Away & Over 2.513.8%

Home & No BTTS11.4%

Home & Under 2.511.1%

BTTS & Over 2.511.1%

Draw & BTTS10.7%

BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

Away & BTTS7.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.2%

Home & Over 2.52.5%

Home & BTTS2.3%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.586.4%

HT Draw57.0%

HT Under 0.552.6%

HT Over 0.547.4%

Equal Goals Each Half37.7%

2nd Half More Goals35.4%

HT Away Win32.6%

HT/FT Away/Away29.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw29.2%

1st Half More Goals26.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away21.2%

HT Over 1.513.6%

HT Home Win10.4%

HT/FT Home/Home6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.6%

HT Both Teams Score6.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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