Mexico · Liga MX
CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
📊 Our Prediction
Home Win
72% confidence
Over 2.5 - 57%
BTTS - 22%
✗ Pick missed (1–2)
🎯 Best Pick
Home Win
Strong form
⚠️ Market disagrees
- bookies say 61%
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Under 2.5 Goals
Defensive strength
Home Clean Sheet
Queretaro struggles
🤖 AI Match Analysis
CF Pachuca is in strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, while Club Queretaro has struggled to score. Pachuca's defensive strength, led by Eduardo Bauermann, will be difficult for Queretaro to break down. With Santi Rondon starting, Pachuca's attack is boosted. Queretaro's lack of scoring threat, with no goals in their last match, makes a home clean sheet likely. CF Pachuca's home advantage and Queretaro's scoring struggles make Home Win a strong pick.
Top Tip
Back CF Pachuca to win at home
📈 Probability Breakdown
CF Pachuca win72.0%
Draw23.0%
Club Queretaro win5.0%
Over 1.5 goals57.8%
Over 2.5 goals57.0%
Over 3.5 goals12.7%
Both teams to score22.0%
🎯 Full Market Board
Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.
Draw No Bet - Home
90.3%
Under 3.5 Goals
89.4%
Over 0.5 Goals
83.2%
Match Result (11)
Home or Draw (1X)92.8%
Draw No Bet - Home90.3%
Home or Away (12)74.8%
Home Win67.6%
Both Halves Over 0.534.4%
Goal in Both Halves34.4%
Draw or Away (X2)32.4%
Exactly 1 Goal30.0%
Draw25.2%
Draw No Bet - Away9.7%
Away Win7.2%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals99.0%
Under 4.5 Goals96.5%
Under 3.5 Goals89.4%
Over 0.5 Goals83.2%
Under 2.5 Goals73.6%
1-3 Goals72.6%
1-2 Goals56.7%
Over 1.5 Goals53.1%
Total Goals Even51.4%
2-4 Goals49.6%
Total Goals Odd48.6%
Under 1.5 Goals46.9%
2-3 Goals42.6%
Exactly 2 Goals26.7%
Over 2.5 Goals26.4%
3-4 Goals22.9%
Under 0.5 Goals16.8%
Exactly 0 Goals16.8%
Exactly 3 Goals15.9%
Over 3.5 Goals10.6%
4+ Goals10.6%
Over 4.5 Goals3.5%
Over 5.5 Goals1.0%
BTTS & Defence (8)
No Both Teams Score (NG)80.0%
Home Team to Score77.3%
Home Clean Sheet74.1%
Home Win to Nil57.2%
Away Team to Score25.9%
Away Clean Sheet22.7%
Both Teams Score (GG)20.0%
Away Win to Nil5.9%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.577.3%
Away Exactly 074.1%
Home Over 1.543.6%
Home Exactly 133.7%
Away Over 0.525.9%
Home Exactly 224.9%
Home Exactly 022.7%
Away Exactly 122.2%
Home Over 2.518.6%
Home 3+ Goals18.6%
Away Over 1.53.7%
Away Exactly 23.3%
Away Over 2.50.4%
Away 3+ Goals0.4%
Handicap & Margin (12)
Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.0%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.4%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.6%
Home to win by 130.9%
Home to win by 221.4%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.3%
Home to win by 3+15.3%
Away to win by 16.3%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%
Away to win by 20.9%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%
Away to win by 3+0.1%
Combos (15)
No BTTS & Under 2.566.1%
Home & No BTTS57.2%
Home & Under 2.543.4%
Draw & Under 2.524.3%
Home & Over 2.524.1%
No BTTS & Over 2.513.9%
BTTS & Over 2.512.5%
Home & BTTS10.3%
Draw & BTTS8.4%
BTTS & Under 2.57.5%
Away & No BTTS5.9%
Away & Under 2.55.8%
Away & Over 2.51.4%
Away & BTTS1.3%
Draw & Over 2.50.9%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Under 1.580.8%
HT Over 0.555.1%
HT Draw49.0%
HT Under 0.544.9%
HT Home Win44.2%
HT/FT Home/Home41.9%
2nd Half More Goals38.4%
Equal Goals Each Half32.9%
1st Half More Goals28.7%
HT/FT Draw/Home24.5%
HT/FT Draw/Draw21.0%
HT Over 1.519.2%
HT Away Win6.8%
HT Both Teams Score6.1%
HT/FT Draw/Away3.5%
HT/FT Away/Away3.5%
HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%
HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%
HT/FT Away/Home1.1%
HT/FT Home/Away0.2%
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.