Mexico · Liga MX

CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

CF Pachuca 55.9% Draw 27.6% Tigres UANL 16.5%

Over 2.5 - 43% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to CF Pachuca: 10 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.5%

Exact-score model probability

CF Pachuca

W L L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Tigres UANL

D L W D L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

CF Pachuca win55.9%

Draw27.6%

Tigres UANL win16.5%

Over 1.5 goals71.0%

Over 2.5 goals43.4%

Over 3.5 goals22.5%

Both teams to score45.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.1%

Under 4.5 Goals

90.2%

Over 3.5 Cards

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)82.0%

Draw No Bet - Home76.1%

Home or Away (12)75.4%

Home Win57.4%

Both Halves Over 0.548.7%

Goal in Both Halves48.7%

Draw or Away (X2)42.6%

Draw24.6%

Draw No Bet - Away23.9%

Exactly 1 Goal21.6%

Away Win18.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.3%

Over 0.5 Goals91.1%

Under 4.5 Goals90.2%

Under 3.5 Goals77.5%

Over 1.5 Goals69.5%

1-3 Goals68.6%

2-4 Goals59.7%

Under 2.5 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.6%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals43.4%

3-4 Goals33.7%

Under 1.5 Goals30.5%

Exactly 2 Goals26.1%

Over 3.5 Goals22.5%

4+ Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Over 4.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals8.9%

Exactly 0 Goals8.9%

Over 5.5 Goals3.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.2%

Away Team to Score54.5%

Home Clean Sheet45.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.8%

Home Win to Nil36.5%

Away Clean Sheet19.6%

Away Win to Nil10.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.4%

Away Over 0.554.5%

Home Over 1.548.4%

Away Exactly 045.5%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Home Exactly 132.0%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Home Over 2.522.4%

Home 3+ Goals22.4%

Home Exactly 019.6%

Away Over 1.518.7%

Away Exactly 214.1%

Away Over 2.54.6%

Away 3+ Goals4.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.1%

Home to win by 126.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.5%

Home to win by 3+13.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.6%

Away to win by 112.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 24.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.1%

Home & No BTTS36.5%

BTTS & Over 2.532.4%

Home & Over 2.531.0%

Home & Under 2.526.4%

Home & BTTS20.8%

Draw & Under 2.520.4%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

BTTS & Under 2.511.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.1%

Away & No BTTS10.7%

Away & Under 2.59.8%

Away & Over 2.58.2%

Away & BTTS7.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.4%

HT Over 0.566.3%

HT Draw43.1%

2nd Half More Goals42.2%

HT Home Win40.8%

HT/FT Home/Home35.6%

HT Under 0.533.7%

1st Half More Goals30.5%

HT Over 1.529.6%

Equal Goals Each Half27.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.3%

HT Away Win16.2%

HT Both Teams Score15.5%

HT/FT Away/Away9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners77.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners77.6%

Over 9.5 Corners67.3%

Away Most Corners65.9%

Under 11.5 Corners56.4%

Over 10.5 Corners55.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.1%

Under 10.5 Corners44.5%

Over 11.5 Corners43.6%

Under 9.5 Corners32.7%

Home Most Corners23.7%

Under 8.5 Corners22.1%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards95.1%

Over 3.5 Cards87.6%

Over 4.5 Cards75.7%

Over 5.5 Cards60.6%

Under 5.5 Cards39.4%

Over 0.5 Red Cards25.3%

Under 4.5 Cards24.3%

Under 3.5 Cards12.4%

Under 2.5 Cards4.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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