Brazil · Serie A

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional

Kick-off 21:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Chapecoense-sc 49.7% Draw 18.5% Internacional 31.8%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Chapecoense-sc: 8 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

Chapecoense-sc

W L W D L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Internacional

L L D D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chapecoense-sc win49.7%

Draw18.5%

Internacional win31.8%

Over 1.5 goals97.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.3%

Over 3.5 goals76.4%

Both teams to score85.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.4%

Goal in Both Halves85.4%

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Home or Draw (1X)67.5%

Draw No Bet - Home60.9%

Home Win50.0%

Draw or Away (X2)49.6%

Draw No Bet - Away39.1%

Away Win32.1%

Draw17.5%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals88.9%

Over 3.5 Goals76.1%

4+ Goals76.1%

Over 4.5 Goals59.4%

Under 5.5 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals42.0%

Under 4.5 Goals40.6%

2-4 Goals36.9%

3-4 Goals29.5%

Under 3.5 Goals23.9%

1-3 Goals23.0%

2-3 Goals20.1%

Exactly 3 Goals12.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.1%

1-2 Goals10.2%

Exactly 2 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.0%

Away Team to Score90.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.0%

Home Clean Sheet9.6%

Home Win to Nil9.0%

Away Clean Sheet5.6%

Away Win to Nil5.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.0%

Away Over 0.590.1%

Home Over 1.577.9%

Away Over 1.567.6%

Home Over 2.554.6%

Home 3+ Goals54.6%

Away Over 2.541.4%

Away 3+ Goals41.4%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Home Exactly 223.3%

Away Exactly 122.4%

Home Exactly 116.2%

Away Exactly 09.6%

Home Exactly 05.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.5%

Home to win by 3+18.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 117.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.2%

Away to win by 114.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 29.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.6%

Away to win by 3+8.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.4%

Home & Over 2.546.2%

Home & BTTS41.0%

Away & Over 2.529.4%

Away & BTTS27.1%

Draw & BTTS17.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.3%

Home & No BTTS9.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & No BTTS5.1%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

Home & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.5%

HT Over 1.568.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score47.3%

HT Home Win42.0%

HT/FT Home/Home33.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.9%

HT Away Win30.2%

HT Draw27.7%

HT/FT Away/Away19.9%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.3%

HT Under 0.59.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners74.3%

Under 10.5 Corners63.5%

Over 8.5 Corners61.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners61.6%

Away Most Corners57.4%

Under 9.5 Corners51.1%

Over 9.5 Corners48.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners42.0%

Under 8.5 Corners38.2%

Over 10.5 Corners36.5%

Home Most Corners30.3%

Over 11.5 Corners25.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards83.5%

Over 2.5 Cards70.9%

Under 4.5 Cards69.4%

Under 3.5 Cards50.1%

Over 3.5 Cards49.9%

Over 4.5 Cards30.6%

Under 2.5 Cards29.1%

Over 5.5 Cards16.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions