Brazil · Serie A

Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol

Kick-off 23:30 · Tue, Nov 3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Chapecoense-sc 48.9% Draw 23.2% Mirassol 27.9%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Mirassol: 3 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Chapecoense-sc

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Mirassol

L D W L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

Chapecoense-sc 0wins ·1 draws ·Mirassol 0wins

Chapecoense-sc 1-1 MirassolMay 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chapecoense-sc win48.9%

Draw23.2%

Mirassol win27.9%

Over 1.5 goals89.2%

Over 2.5 goals71.0%

Over 3.5 goals50.0%

Both teams to score70.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

88.1%

Home Team to Score

87.7%

Home Over 0.5

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.0%

Home or Draw (1X)71.0%

Both Halves Over 0.570.1%

Goal in Both Halves70.1%

Draw No Bet - Home63.3%

Home Win50.0%

Draw or Away (X2)50.0%

Draw No Bet - Away36.7%

Away Win29.0%

Draw21.0%

Exactly 1 Goal9.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals88.1%

Under 5.5 Goals83.4%

Over 2.5 Goals71.0%

Under 4.5 Goals69.3%

2-4 Goals57.4%

Over 3.5 Goals50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

4+ Goals50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals47.4%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals38.1%

Over 4.5 Goals30.7%

Under 2.5 Goals29.0%

1-2 Goals26.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.1%

Over 5.5 Goals16.6%

Under 1.5 Goals11.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.7%

Away Team to Score79.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.5%

Home Clean Sheet20.8%

Home Win to Nil18.2%

Away Clean Sheet12.2%

Away Win to Nil9.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.7%

Away Over 0.579.2%

Home Over 1.562.1%

Away Over 1.546.6%

Home Over 2.535.1%

Home 3+ Goals35.1%

Away Exactly 132.6%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.7%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Away Over 2.520.9%

Away 3+ Goals20.9%

Away Exactly 020.8%

Home Exactly 012.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 115.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 215.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.4%

Home to win by 3+14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.4%

Away to win by 28.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.2%

Away to win by 3+5.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.1%

Home & Over 2.539.1%

Home & BTTS31.8%

Away & Over 2.521.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.6%

Away & BTTS19.3%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Home & No BTTS18.2%

Home & Under 2.510.9%

Draw & Under 2.510.9%

Draw & Over 2.510.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Away & No BTTS9.7%

BTTS & Under 2.58.4%

Away & Under 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.9%

HT Under 1.550.8%

HT Over 1.549.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.7%

HT Home Win39.6%

HT Draw34.3%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT/FT Home/Home31.7%

HT Both Teams Score31.0%

HT Away Win26.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.1%

HT/FT Away/Away17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners69.7%

Over 8.5 Corners66.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners61.6%

Under 10.5 Corners58.3%

Over 9.5 Corners54.2%

Away Most Corners52.0%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Under 9.5 Corners45.8%

Over 10.5 Corners41.7%

Home Most Corners35.5%

Under 8.5 Corners33.3%

Over 11.5 Corners30.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards85.8%

Under 4.5 Cards72.5%

Over 2.5 Cards67.9%

Under 3.5 Cards53.7%

Over 3.5 Cards46.3%

Under 2.5 Cards32.1%

Over 4.5 Cards27.5%

Over 5.5 Cards14.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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