Brazil · Serie A

Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Nov 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Chapecoense-sc 17.8% Draw 17.9% Vasco DA Gama 64.3%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Vasco DA Gama: 3 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Chapecoense-sc

L L W L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Vasco DA Gama

W L W L D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chapecoense-sc win17.8%

Draw17.9%

Vasco DA Gama win64.3%

Over 1.5 goals94.0%

Over 2.5 goals81.4%

Over 3.5 goals63.9%

Both teams to score74.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.7%

Under 5.5 Cards

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.3%

Draw or Away (X2)81.3%

Both Halves Over 0.578.5%

Goal in Both Halves78.5%

Draw No Bet - Away77.8%

Away Win64.8%

Home or Draw (1X)34.9%

Draw No Bet - Home22.2%

Home Win18.5%

Draw16.4%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.2%

Under 5.5 Goals72.3%

Over 3.5 Goals63.7%

4+ Goals63.7%

Under 4.5 Goals55.5%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-4 Goals48.5%

Over 4.5 Goals44.5%

3-4 Goals36.6%

Under 3.5 Goals36.3%

1-3 Goals34.8%

2-3 Goals29.4%

Over 5.5 Goals27.7%

Under 2.5 Goals18.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.9%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.0%

Home Team to Score78.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.3%

Away Clean Sheet21.5%

Away Win to Nil20.3%

Home Clean Sheet5.7%

Home Win to Nil4.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.0%

Home Over 0.578.2%

Away Over 1.577.7%

Away Over 2.554.3%

Away 3+ Goals54.3%

Home Over 1.545.2%

Home Exactly 133.0%

Home Exactly 225.3%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Home Exactly 021.5%

Home Over 2.519.9%

Home 3+ Goals19.9%

Away Exactly 116.3%

Away Exactly 05.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away81.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home72.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)64.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)54.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home54.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away45.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away27.4%

Away to win by 3+27.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.5%

Away to win by 119.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.9%

Away to win by 217.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 110.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.1%

Home to win by 25.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.9%

Home to win by 3+2.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.3%

Away & Over 2.556.3%

Away & BTTS44.5%

Away & No BTTS20.3%

Draw & BTTS15.2%

Home & Over 2.515.1%

Home & BTTS14.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.9%

Draw & Over 2.59.8%

Away & Under 2.58.6%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Home & No BTTS4.5%

Home & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.2%

HT Over 1.558.8%

HT Away Win50.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT/FT Away/Away44.4%

HT Under 1.541.2%

HT Both Teams Score36.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.1%

HT Home Win19.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT Under 0.513.8%

HT/FT Home/Home10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners88.0%

Away Most Corners84.0%

Over 8.5 Corners80.9%

Over 9.5 Corners71.1%

Over 10.5 Corners59.8%

Under 11.5 Corners52.0%

Over 11.5 Corners48.0%

Under 10.5 Corners40.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Under 9.5 Corners28.9%

Under 8.5 Corners19.1%

Home Most Corners9.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards91.6%

Under 4.5 Cards81.5%

Under 3.5 Cards64.7%

Over 2.5 Cards57.7%

Under 2.5 Cards42.3%

Over 3.5 Cards35.3%

Over 4.5 Cards18.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.0%

Over 5.5 Cards8.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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