USA · Major League Soccer

Charlotte vs Columbus Crew

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Charlotte 73.1% Draw 16.4% Columbus Crew 10.5%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Charlotte: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Charlotte

L W D W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

Columbus Crew

D W L W D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlotte win73.1%

Draw16.4%

Columbus Crew win10.5%

Over 1.5 goals90.4%

Over 2.5 goals73.7%

Over 3.5 goals53.4%

Both teams to score61.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.7%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.4%

Draw No Bet - Home86.7%

Home or Away (12)85.0%

Home Win73.7%

Both Halves Over 0.572.3%

Goal in Both Halves72.3%

Draw or Away (X2)26.0%

Draw14.7%

Draw No Bet - Away13.3%

Away Win11.3%

Exactly 1 Goal8.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals89.4%

Under 5.5 Goals81.2%

Over 2.5 Goals73.5%

Under 4.5 Goals66.2%

2-4 Goals55.6%

Over 3.5 Goals53.3%

4+ Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals46.7%

1-3 Goals44.3%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals36.1%

Over 4.5 Goals33.8%

Under 2.5 Goals26.5%

1-2 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals20.3%

Over 5.5 Goals18.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.8%

Under 1.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.7%

Away Team to Score64.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.4%

Home Clean Sheet35.3%

Home Win to Nil33.1%

Away Clean Sheet6.1%

Away Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.7%

Home Over 1.576.7%

Away Over 0.564.5%

Home Over 2.552.9%

Home 3+ Goals52.9%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 035.3%

Away Over 1.527.8%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Home Exactly 117.0%

Away Over 2.58.8%

Away 3+ Goals8.8%

Home Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)33.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home33.3%

Home to win by 3+33.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.2%

Home to win by 120.2%

Home to win by 220.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.5%

Away to win by 17.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.559.3%

BTTS & Over 2.554.3%

Home & BTTS40.6%

Home & No BTTS33.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.2%

Home & Under 2.514.4%

Draw & BTTS12.6%

Draw & Under 2.58.4%

Away & Over 2.57.9%

Away & BTTS7.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS3.9%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.3%

HT Home Win56.4%

HT/FT Home/Home51.7%

HT Over 1.551.6%

HT Under 1.548.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw29.9%

HT Both Teams Score26.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.2%

HT Under 0.517.7%

HT Away Win13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Away/Away6.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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