USA · Major League Soccer

Charlotte vs DC United

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Charlotte 51.0% Draw 20.9% DC United 28.1%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charlotte: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Charlotte

D W L W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 12:8 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.33

DC United

L D D W D D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlotte win51.0%

Draw20.9%

DC United win28.1%

Over 1.5 goals93.4%

Over 2.5 goals79.7%

Over 3.5 goals61.4%

Both teams to score77.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

92.0%

Home Team to Score

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.7%

Both Halves Over 0.577.1%

Goal in Both Halves77.1%

Home or Draw (1X)71.0%

Draw No Bet - Home64.2%

Home Win51.8%

Draw or Away (X2)48.1%

Draw No Bet - Away35.8%

Away Win28.9%

Draw19.2%

Exactly 1 Goal6.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals92.4%

Over 2.5 Goals79.6%

Under 5.5 Goals74.5%

Over 3.5 Goals61.4%

4+ Goals61.4%

Under 4.5 Goals58.0%

2-4 Goals50.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals42.0%

Under 3.5 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals37.6%

1-3 Goals37.1%

2-3 Goals31.1%

Over 5.5 Goals25.5%

Under 2.5 Goals20.4%

1-2 Goals18.9%

Exactly 3 Goals18.2%

Exactly 2 Goals12.8%

Under 1.5 Goals7.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.2%

Away Team to Score83.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.6%

Home Clean Sheet16.2%

Home Win to Nil14.8%

Away Clean Sheet8.7%

Away Win to Nil7.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.2%

Away Over 0.583.7%

Home Over 1.569.9%

Away Over 1.554.2%

Home Over 2.543.9%

Home 3+ Goals43.9%

Away Exactly 129.5%

Away Over 2.527.4%

Away 3+ Goals27.4%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Home Exactly 121.3%

Away Exactly 016.2%

Home Exactly 08.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 119.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.2%

Home to win by 3+17.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.1%

Home to win by 215.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.5%

Away to win by 114.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.4%

Away to win by 28.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.0%

Away to win by 3+6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.1%

Home & Over 2.544.1%

Home & BTTS37.0%

Away & Over 2.524.0%

Away & BTTS21.6%

Draw & BTTS17.8%

Home & No BTTS14.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.0%

Draw & Over 2.511.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.5%

Home & Under 2.57.7%

Draw & Under 2.57.7%

Away & No BTTS7.3%

BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Away & Under 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.3%

HT Over 1.557.1%

2nd Half More Goals48.1%

HT Under 1.542.9%

HT Home Win41.8%

HT Both Teams Score37.2%

HT/FT Home/Home33.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.2%

HT Away Win27.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT/FT Away/Away17.3%

HT Under 0.514.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners71.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners71.5%

Away Most Corners70.2%

Over 8.5 Corners64.8%

Under 10.5 Corners60.4%

Over 9.5 Corners52.1%

Under 9.5 Corners47.9%

Over 10.5 Corners39.6%

Under 8.5 Corners35.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Over 11.5 Corners28.4%

Home Most Corners19.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards82.6%

Under 5.5 Cards70.3%

Over 3.5 Cards65.8%

Under 4.5 Cards53.2%

Over 4.5 Cards46.8%

Under 3.5 Cards34.2%

Over 5.5 Cards29.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.0%

Under 2.5 Cards17.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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