USA · Major League Soccer

Charlotte vs FC Dallas

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

Charlotte 77.0% Draw 11.0% FC Dallas 12.0%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-2 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to FC Dallas: 12 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

Charlotte

D W D W W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

FC Dallas

W D W W W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 12:8 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlotte win77.0%

Draw11.0%

FC Dallas win12.0%

Over 1.5 goals99.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.6%

Over 3.5 goals88.6%

Both teams to score86.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.1%

Goal in Both Halves92.1%

Draw No Bet - Home86.4%

Home or Away (12)85.7%

Home or Draw (1X)84.3%

Home Win74.0%

Draw or Away (X2)21.9%

Draw No Bet - Away13.6%

Away Win11.7%

Draw10.2%

Exactly 1 Goal0.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals91.8%

Over 3.5 Goals85.0%

4+ Goals85.0%

Over 4.5 Goals74.0%

Over 5.5 Goals59.6%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals40.4%

Under 4.5 Goals26.0%

2-4 Goals20.9%

3-4 Goals17.8%

Under 3.5 Goals15.0%

1-3 Goals10.8%

2-3 Goals9.8%

Under 2.5 Goals8.2%

Exactly 3 Goals6.7%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

1-2 Goals4.0%

Exactly 2 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score83.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.5%

Home Clean Sheet12.5%

Home Win to Nil12.4%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Away Over 0.583.4%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 1.557.9%

Away Over 2.531.9%

Away 3+ Goals31.9%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 125.5%

Away Exactly 012.5%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)87.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away79.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)66.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away66.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)51.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away51.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.3%

Home to win by 3+44.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home16.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 113.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 16.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 23.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.1%

Home & Over 2.571.9%

Home & BTTS61.7%

Home & No BTTS12.4%

Away & Over 2.511.1%

Away & BTTS10.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Draw & BTTS10.1%

Draw & Over 2.58.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Home & Under 2.52.1%

Draw & Under 2.51.5%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.7%

HT Over 1.579.2%

HT Home Win63.1%

HT/FT Home/Home58.0%

HT Both Teams Score52.1%

2nd Half More Goals52.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Under 1.520.8%

HT Draw20.7%

HT Away Win16.2%

Equal Goals Each Half15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.8%

HT/FT Away/Away6.8%

HT/FT Away/Home6.1%

HT Under 0.55.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners70.3%

Under 11.5 Corners65.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners61.6%

Over 9.5 Corners58.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Under 10.5 Corners54.1%

Home Most Corners47.8%

Over 10.5 Corners45.9%

Under 9.5 Corners41.7%

Away Most Corners39.7%

Over 11.5 Corners34.2%

Under 8.5 Corners29.7%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards82.6%

Under 5.5 Cards70.3%

Over 3.5 Cards65.8%

Under 4.5 Cards53.2%

Over 4.5 Cards46.8%

Under 3.5 Cards34.2%

Over 5.5 Cards29.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.0%

Under 2.5 Cards17.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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