USA · Major League Soccer

Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Charlotte 30.3% Draw 29.4% Houston Dynamo 40.3%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.4%

Exact-score model probability

Charlotte

W W D W L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Houston Dynamo

D L W W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 7:2 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlotte win30.3%

Draw29.4%

Houston Dynamo win40.3%

Over 1.5 goals75.0%

Over 2.5 goals48.4%

Over 3.5 goals26.6%

Both teams to score54.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

87.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

86.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

86.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.8%

Draw or Away (X2)68.1%

Home or Draw (1X)58.0%

Draw No Bet - Away56.8%

Both Halves Over 0.552.6%

Goal in Both Halves52.6%

Draw No Bet - Home43.2%

Away Win42.0%

Home Win31.9%

Draw26.2%

Exactly 1 Goal19.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.0%

Over 0.5 Goals92.6%

Under 4.5 Goals87.6%

Over 1.5 Goals73.4%

Under 3.5 Goals73.4%

1-3 Goals66.1%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 2.5 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.4%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals44.3%

3-4 Goals36.0%

Under 1.5 Goals26.6%

Over 3.5 Goals26.6%

4+ Goals26.6%

Exactly 2 Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.4%

Under 0.5 Goals7.4%

Exactly 0 Goals7.4%

Over 5.5 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score75.6%

Home Team to Score69.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.2%

Away Clean Sheet30.2%

Home Clean Sheet24.4%

Away Win to Nil22.9%

Home Win to Nil17.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.575.6%

Home Over 0.569.8%

Away Over 1.541.2%

Home Exactly 136.2%

Away Exactly 134.4%

Home Over 1.533.6%

Home Exactly 030.2%

Away Exactly 024.4%

Away Exactly 224.3%

Home Exactly 221.6%

Away Over 2.516.9%

Away 3+ Goals16.9%

Home Over 2.512.0%

Home 3+ Goals12.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.0%

Away to win by 122.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 118.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 212.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.9%

Home to win by 28.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.5%

Away to win by 3+7.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.3%

Home to win by 3+4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.540.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.2%

Away & Over 2.524.2%

Away & No BTTS22.9%

Draw & Under 2.519.8%

Away & BTTS19.1%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & Over 2.517.8%

Away & Under 2.517.7%

Home & No BTTS17.0%

Home & BTTS14.9%

Home & Under 2.514.1%

BTTS & Under 2.512.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.1%

HT Under 1.567.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.0%

HT Draw42.4%

HT Over 1.532.8%

HT Away Win31.9%

HT Under 0.530.9%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

Equal Goals Each Half26.1%

HT Home Win25.7%

HT/FT Away/Away24.9%

HT Both Teams Score19.6%

HT/FT Home/Home18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners75.2%

Under 10.5 Corners64.5%

Over 8.5 Corners60.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners54.8%

Under 9.5 Corners52.2%

Away Most Corners48.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners48.1%

Over 9.5 Corners47.8%

Under 8.5 Corners39.2%

Home Most Corners38.8%

Over 10.5 Corners35.5%

Over 11.5 Corners24.8%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards78.0%

Over 2.5 Cards76.7%

Under 4.5 Cards62.2%

Over 3.5 Cards57.3%

Under 3.5 Cards42.7%

Over 4.5 Cards37.8%

Under 2.5 Cards23.3%

Over 5.5 Cards22.0%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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