England · Championship

Charlton vs Bolton

Kick-off 20:45 · Tue, Nov 3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Charlton 30.2% Draw 24.7% Bolton 45.1%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bolton: 2 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Charlton

L L L D D L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Bolton

L L D L W W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlton win30.2%

Draw24.7%

Bolton win45.1%

Over 1.5 goals86.7%

Over 2.5 goals66.3%

Over 3.5 goals44.4%

Both teams to score67.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

88.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

88.3%

Under 5.5 Goals

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.7%

Draw or Away (X2)68.6%

Both Halves Over 0.566.5%

Goal in Both Halves66.5%

Draw No Bet - Away59.6%

Home or Draw (1X)53.6%

Away Win46.4%

Draw No Bet - Home40.4%

Home Win31.4%

Draw22.2%

Exactly 1 Goal11.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals86.9%

Over 1.5 Goals85.4%

Under 4.5 Goals74.2%

Over 2.5 Goals66.3%

2-4 Goals59.6%

Under 3.5 Goals55.6%

1-3 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.4%

4+ Goals44.4%

2-3 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.7%

1-2 Goals30.4%

Over 4.5 Goals25.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.2%

Under 1.5 Goals14.6%

Over 5.5 Goals13.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score84.8%

Home Team to Score78.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.6%

Away Clean Sheet21.8%

Away Win to Nil18.5%

Home Clean Sheet15.1%

Home Win to Nil11.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.584.8%

Home Over 0.578.2%

Away Over 1.556.3%

Home Over 1.545.0%

Home Exactly 133.2%

Away Over 2.529.3%

Away 3+ Goals29.3%

Away Exactly 128.6%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 021.8%

Home Over 2.519.7%

Home 3+ Goals19.7%

Away Exactly 015.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.7%

Away to win by 120.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 214.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.7%

Away to win by 3+11.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.1%

Home to win by 29.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.6%

Home to win by 3+5.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.9%

Away & Over 2.534.3%

Away & BTTS27.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.2%

Home & Over 2.522.5%

Home & BTTS19.5%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Away & No BTTS18.5%

Draw & Under 2.512.8%

Away & Under 2.512.1%

Home & No BTTS11.8%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Home & Under 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.5%

HT Under 1.554.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.9%

HT Over 1.545.4%

HT Away Win36.7%

HT Draw36.0%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT/FT Away/Away28.8%

HT Both Teams Score28.4%

HT Home Win27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half22.3%

HT Under 0.521.5%

HT/FT Home/Home18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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