England · Championship

Charlton vs Bristol City

Kick-off 12:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Charlton 49.0% Draw 27.0% Bristol City 24.0%

Over 2.5 - 54% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bristol City: 6 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.4%

Exact-score model probability

Charlton

L D D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 3:8 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Bristol City

W L L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlton win49.0%

Draw27.0%

Bristol City win24.0%

Over 1.5 goals78.8%

Over 2.5 goals53.6%

Over 3.5 goals31.4%

Both teams to score56.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.9%

Home or Draw (1X)74.5%

Draw No Bet - Home66.5%

Both Halves Over 0.556.7%

Goal in Both Halves56.7%

Home Win50.5%

Draw or Away (X2)49.5%

Draw No Bet - Away33.5%

Away Win25.5%

Draw24.1%

Exactly 1 Goal16.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.1%

Under 5.5 Goals93.3%

Under 4.5 Goals84.4%

Over 1.5 Goals77.3%

Under 3.5 Goals68.6%

1-3 Goals62.7%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals46.4%

2-3 Goals46.0%

1-2 Goals40.4%

3-4 Goals38.0%

Over 3.5 Goals31.4%

4+ Goals31.4%

Exactly 2 Goals23.7%

Under 1.5 Goals22.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals15.6%

Over 5.5 Goals6.7%

Under 0.5 Goals5.9%

Exactly 0 Goals5.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.6%

Away Team to Score67.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.7%

Home Clean Sheet32.2%

Home Win to Nil26.3%

Away Clean Sheet18.4%

Away Win to Nil12.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.6%

Away Over 0.567.8%

Home Over 1.550.5%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 032.2%

Away Over 1.531.3%

Home Exactly 131.1%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home Over 2.524.1%

Home 3+ Goals24.1%

Away Exactly 220.7%

Home Exactly 018.4%

Away Over 2.510.6%

Away 3+ Goals10.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.3%

Home to win by 123.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.8%

Home to win by 3+11.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 26.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.0%

Away to win by 3+3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.0%

Home & Over 2.531.9%

Home & No BTTS26.3%

Home & BTTS24.2%

Home & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Draw & Under 2.517.3%

Away & Over 2.514.9%

Away & BTTS13.0%

Away & No BTTS12.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

Away & Under 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.0%

HT Under 1.563.7%

2nd Half More Goals43.9%

HT Draw40.0%

HT Home Win37.8%

HT Over 1.536.3%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT/FT Home/Home31.2%

HT Under 0.528.0%

Equal Goals Each Half24.9%

HT Away Win22.2%

HT Both Teams Score21.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.5%

HT/FT Away/Away14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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