England · Championship

Charlton vs Norwich

Full time · 1:3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Charlton 26.9% Draw 28.1% Norwich 45.0%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 56%

✓ Pick was correct (1:3)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charlton: 4 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.9%

Exact-score model probability

Charlton

L D D L D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Norwich

L L L L L W

Form 1-0-5 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlton win26.9%

Draw28.1%

Norwich win45.0%

Over 1.5 goals77.3%

Over 2.5 goals51.5%

Over 3.5 goals29.3%

Both teams to score56.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.9%

Draw or Away (X2)71.6%

Draw No Bet - Away62.1%

Both Halves Over 0.555.0%

Goal in Both Halves55.0%

Home or Draw (1X)53.5%

Away Win46.5%

Draw No Bet - Home37.9%

Home Win28.4%

Draw25.1%

Exactly 1 Goal17.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.1%

Over 0.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals85.8%

Over 1.5 Goals75.7%

Under 3.5 Goals70.7%

1-3 Goals64.2%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.5%

2-3 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals37.2%

Over 3.5 Goals29.3%

4+ Goals29.3%

Under 1.5 Goals24.3%

Exactly 2 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.2%

Under 0.5 Goals6.5%

Exactly 0 Goals6.5%

Over 5.5 Goals5.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score79.1%

Home Team to Score68.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.5%

Away Clean Sheet31.1%

Away Win to Nil24.6%

Home Clean Sheet20.9%

Home Win to Nil14.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.579.1%

Home Over 0.568.9%

Away Over 1.546.4%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Away Exactly 132.7%

Home Over 1.532.6%

Home Exactly 031.1%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Home Exactly 221.2%

Away Exactly 020.9%

Away Over 2.520.8%

Away 3+ Goals20.8%

Home Over 2.511.4%

Home 3+ Goals11.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.8%

Away to win by 122.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 214.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.7%

Away to win by 3+9.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.8%

Home to win by 27.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.6%

Home to win by 3+3.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.542.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.536.7%

Away & Over 2.528.4%

Away & No BTTS24.6%

Away & BTTS21.9%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

Draw & Under 2.518.4%

Away & Under 2.518.1%

Home & Over 2.516.4%

Home & No BTTS14.4%

Home & BTTS14.0%

Home & Under 2.512.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.8%

HT Under 1.565.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT Draw41.1%

HT Away Win35.1%

HT Over 1.534.8%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.2%

HT/FT Away/Away28.2%

Equal Goals Each Half25.4%

HT Home Win23.8%

HT Both Teams Score20.7%

HT/FT Home/Home16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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