England · Championship

Charlton vs Portsmouth

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Charlton 60.7% Draw 21.1% Portsmouth 18.2%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charlton: 8 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

Charlton

D L D W L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Portsmouth

W L L W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlton win60.7%

Draw21.1%

Portsmouth win18.2%

Over 1.5 goals88.4%

Over 2.5 goals69.6%

Over 3.5 goals48.3%

Both teams to score65.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.3%

Home Over 0.5

90.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.9%

Home or Draw (1X)80.8%

Draw No Bet - Home76.3%

Both Halves Over 0.569.0%

Goal in Both Halves69.0%

Home Win61.7%

Draw or Away (X2)38.2%

Draw No Bet - Away23.7%

Away Win19.2%

Draw19.0%

Exactly 1 Goal9.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.3%

Under 5.5 Goals84.6%

Under 4.5 Goals70.9%

Over 2.5 Goals69.5%

2-4 Goals58.1%

Under 3.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals48.9%

Over 3.5 Goals48.2%

4+ Goals48.2%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.0%

Under 2.5 Goals30.5%

Over 4.5 Goals29.1%

1-2 Goals27.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals15.4%

Under 1.5 Goals12.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.3%

Away Team to Score71.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.6%

Home Clean Sheet28.7%

Home Win to Nil25.9%

Away Clean Sheet9.6%

Away Win to Nil6.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.3%

Away Over 0.571.2%

Home Over 1.567.8%

Home Over 2.541.5%

Home 3+ Goals41.5%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Away Over 1.535.4%

Away Exactly 028.7%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 122.5%

Away Exactly 222.3%

Away Over 2.513.1%

Away 3+ Goals13.1%

Home Exactly 09.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 121.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.7%

Home to win by 3+21.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 218.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 111.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.2%

Away to win by 25.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.4%

Away to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.3%

Home & Over 2.547.7%

Home & BTTS35.8%

Home & No BTTS25.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.4%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

Home & Under 2.514.0%

Away & Over 2.513.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.2%

Away & BTTS12.3%

Draw & Under 2.510.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

BTTS & Under 2.58.1%

Away & No BTTS6.8%

Away & Under 2.55.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.1%

HT Under 1.552.0%

HT Over 1.548.0%

HT Home Win47.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

HT/FT Home/Home40.8%

HT Draw33.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.9%

HT Away Win19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT/FT Away/Away10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions