England · Championship

Charlton vs QPR

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Sep 9

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Charlton 30.6% Draw 18.4% QPR 51.0%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to QPR: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

Charlton

L D W L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

QPR

L W W D W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlton win30.6%

Draw18.4%

QPR win51.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.2%

Over 3.5 goals76.3%

Both teams to score85.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.5%

HT Over 0.5

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.3%

Goal in Both Halves85.3%

Home or Away (12)82.2%

Draw or Away (X2)68.7%

Draw No Bet - Away62.4%

Away Win51.3%

Home or Draw (1X)48.3%

Draw No Bet - Home37.6%

Home Win31.0%

Draw17.4%

Exactly 1 Goal2.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals88.9%

Over 3.5 Goals76.0%

4+ Goals76.0%

Over 4.5 Goals59.3%

Under 5.5 Goals58.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals41.8%

Under 4.5 Goals40.7%

2-4 Goals36.9%

3-4 Goals29.6%

Under 3.5 Goals24.0%

1-3 Goals23.0%

2-3 Goals20.2%

Exactly 3 Goals12.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.1%

1-2 Goals10.2%

Exactly 2 Goals7.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.2%

Home Team to Score89.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil9.4%

Home Clean Sheet5.4%

Home Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.2%

Home Over 0.589.7%

Away Over 1.578.4%

Home Over 1.566.7%

Away Over 2.555.4%

Away 3+ Goals55.4%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Away Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 122.9%

Away Exactly 115.8%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Away Exactly 05.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home65.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)51.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)48.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home48.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)31.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.4%

Away to win by 3+19.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 117.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.4%

Away to win by 214.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 113.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.0%

Home to win by 29.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.1%

Home to win by 3+8.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.1%

Away & Over 2.547.4%

Away & BTTS41.9%

Home & Over 2.528.3%

Home & BTTS26.1%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Away & No BTTS9.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Home & No BTTS4.9%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Home & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.4%

HT Over 1.568.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT Both Teams Score47.1%

HT Away Win42.9%

HT/FT Away/Away34.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.0%

HT Home Win29.5%

HT Draw27.7%

HT/FT Home/Home19.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.5%

HT Under 0.59.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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