England · Championship

Charlton vs Sheffield Utd

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Charlton 9.9% Draw 20.1% Sheffield Utd 70.0%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 12.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Sheffield Utd: 2 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.8%

Exact-score model probability

Charlton

L L L L D D

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

Sheffield Utd

W W D W L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:6 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Charlton win9.9%

Draw20.1%

Sheffield Utd win70.0%

Over 1.5 goals80.6%

Over 2.5 goals56.8%

Over 3.5 goals34.4%

Both teams to score47.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

92.0%

Away Team to Score

89.1%

Away Over 0.5

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.0%

Draw No Bet - Away86.6%

Home or Away (12)82.0%

Away Win71.1%

Both Halves Over 0.559.2%

Goal in Both Halves59.2%

Home or Draw (1X)28.9%

Draw17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal15.3%

Draw No Bet - Home13.4%

Home Win11.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.8%

Under 5.5 Goals92.0%

Under 4.5 Goals82.2%

Over 1.5 Goals79.4%

Under 3.5 Goals65.6%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.4%

Over 2.5 Goals56.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.1%

Under 2.5 Goals43.2%

3-4 Goals39.0%

1-2 Goals38.0%

Over 3.5 Goals34.4%

4+ Goals34.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.6%

Over 4.5 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals8.0%

Under 0.5 Goals5.2%

Exactly 0 Goals5.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.4%

Home Team to Score52.3%

Away Clean Sheet47.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.6%

Away Win to Nil42.5%

Home Clean Sheet10.9%

Home Win to Nil5.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.1%

Away Over 1.565.0%

Home Over 0.552.3%

Home Exactly 047.6%

Away Over 2.538.2%

Away 3+ Goals38.2%

Home Exactly 135.3%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.1%

Home Over 1.517.0%

Home Exactly 213.1%

Away Exactly 010.9%

Home Over 2.53.9%

Home 3+ Goals3.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)71.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home52.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)47.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away47.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.8%

Away to win by 3+25.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.9%

Away to win by 123.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.4%

Away to win by 221.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 18.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.4%

Home to win by 22.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.6%

Home to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.546.8%

Away & No BTTS42.5%

BTTS & Over 2.538.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.534.7%

Away & BTTS28.6%

Away & Under 2.524.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.6%

Draw & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

BTTS & Under 2.58.5%

Home & Over 2.55.7%

Home & No BTTS5.7%

Home & Under 2.55.3%

Home & BTTS5.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.6%

HT Under 1.561.5%

HT Away Win51.9%

HT/FT Away/Away47.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.4%

HT Over 1.538.5%

HT Draw35.9%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.4%

Equal Goals Each Half24.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.5%

HT Both Teams Score17.9%

HT Home Win12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.0%

HT/FT Home/Home5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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