England · League Cup

Cheltenham vs Charlton

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

84% confidence

Cheltenham 83.9% Draw 10.1% Charlton 6.0%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.5%

Exact-score model probability

Cheltenham

No recent results stored yet

Charlton

Form 0-0-1 Goals 1:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 3

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cheltenham win83.9%

Draw10.1%

Charlton win6.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.9%

Over 2.5 goals86.4%

Over 3.5 goals71.5%

Both teams to score65.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

Home or Away (12)

89.3%

HT Over 0.5

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home92.9%

Home or Draw (1X)92.1%

Home or Away (12)89.3%

Home Win83.0%

Both Halves Over 0.582.9%

Goal in Both Halves82.9%

Draw or Away (X2)15.4%

Draw9.1%

Draw No Bet - Away7.1%

Away Win6.3%

Exactly 1 Goal3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.0%

Over 2.5 Goals85.0%

Over 3.5 Goals70.4%

4+ Goals70.4%

Under 5.5 Goals65.0%

Over 4.5 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Under 4.5 Goals47.5%

2-4 Goals41.5%

Over 5.5 Goals35.0%

3-4 Goals32.5%

Under 3.5 Goals29.6%

1-3 Goals27.3%

2-3 Goals23.6%

Under 2.5 Goals15.0%

Exactly 3 Goals14.6%

1-2 Goals12.6%

Exactly 2 Goals9.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score65.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.8%

Home Clean Sheet32.8%

Home Win to Nil32.0%

Away Clean Sheet2.2%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.6%

Home Over 2.571.4%

Home 3+ Goals71.4%

Away Over 0.565.7%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Exactly 032.8%

Away Over 1.529.6%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Home Exactly 216.2%

Away Over 2.59.8%

Away 3+ Goals9.8%

Home Exactly 18.5%

Home Exactly 02.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)68.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home68.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away65.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)50.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home50.2%

Home to win by 3+50.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)48.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away48.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home32.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away30.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 218.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.3%

Away to win by 14.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.5%

Away to win by 21.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.574.7%

BTTS & Over 2.561.0%

Home & BTTS51.0%

Home & No BTTS32.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.524.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.3%

Draw & BTTS8.4%

Home & Under 2.58.2%

Draw & Over 2.55.2%

Away & Over 2.55.1%

Away & BTTS4.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.1%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.9%

HT Home Win67.2%

HT Over 1.564.6%

HT/FT Home/Home64.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.535.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score32.0%

HT Draw22.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.2%

HT Under 0.511.1%

HT Away Win10.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Cheltenham win10%

Draw45%

Charlton win45%

AdviceDouble chance : draw or Charlton

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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