USA · Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs Charlotte

Full time · 2:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Chicago Fire 16.2% Draw 16.6% Charlotte 67.2%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 76%

✓ Pick was correct (2:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Away Team to Score

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Charlotte: 7 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Chicago Fire

L L W W D L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Charlotte

W D W W L D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chicago Fire win16.2%

Draw16.6%

Charlotte win67.2%

Over 1.5 goals95.0%

Over 2.5 goals83.8%

Over 3.5 goals67.5%

Both teams to score75.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

91.7%

HT Over 0.5

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Draw or Away (X2)82.8%

Both Halves Over 0.580.5%

Goal in Both Halves80.5%

Draw No Bet - Away80.1%

Away Win67.5%

Home or Draw (1X)32.1%

Draw No Bet - Home19.9%

Home Win16.8%

Draw15.3%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals94.0%

Over 2.5 Goals83.4%

Under 5.5 Goals68.8%

Over 3.5 Goals67.2%

4+ Goals67.2%

Under 4.5 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals48.4%

2-4 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals32.8%

1-3 Goals31.4%

Over 5.5 Goals31.2%

2-3 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals16.6%

Exactly 3 Goals16.3%

1-2 Goals15.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score78.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.3%

Away Clean Sheet21.2%

Away Win to Nil20.2%

Home Clean Sheet4.7%

Home Win to Nil3.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.580.5%

Home Over 0.578.4%

Away Over 2.558.6%

Away 3+ Goals58.6%

Home Over 1.545.6%

Home Exactly 132.8%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 021.2%

Home Over 2.520.3%

Home 3+ Goals20.3%

Away Exactly 114.3%

Away Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home91.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home82.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home69.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)67.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)50.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home50.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)48.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away48.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home32.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away30.5%

Away to win by 3+30.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 118.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.1%

Away to win by 218.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away16.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 19.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.6%

Home to win by 24.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.6%

Home to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.570.0%

Away & Over 2.559.8%

Away & BTTS47.3%

Away & No BTTS20.2%

Draw & BTTS14.3%

Home & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.4%

Home & BTTS13.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

Away & Under 2.57.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Home & No BTTS3.7%

Home & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.4%

HT Over 1.561.4%

HT Away Win53.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT/FT Away/Away47.1%

HT Under 1.538.6%

HT Both Teams Score37.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw27.8%

HT Home Win18.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT Under 0.512.6%

HT/FT Home/Home9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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