USA · Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami

● LIVE 62' · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Chicago Fire 67.9% Draw 13.2% Inter Miami 18.9%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

91%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Chicago Fire win at 67.9%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Chicago Fire: 11 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Chicago Fire win

67.9%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.2%

1X2 model probability

Inter Miami win

18.9%

1X2 model probability

Chicago Fire

D D W W W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:12 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2

Inter Miami

W W L D L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 15:12 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

Chicago Fire 0wins ·0 draws ·Inter Miami 1wins

Chicago Fire 2-3 Inter MiamiJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chicago Fire win67.9%

Draw13.2%

Inter Miami win18.9%

Over 1.5 goals99.3%

Over 2.5 goals96.6%

Over 3.5 goals90.8%

Both teams to score90.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

Home Over 1.5

89.6%

Away Team to Score

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.2%

Goal in Both Halves93.2%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Home or Draw (1X)78.1%

Draw No Bet - Home78.1%

Home Win65.7%

Draw or Away (X2)30.9%

Draw No Bet - Away21.9%

Away Win18.4%

Draw12.4%

Exactly 1 Goal0.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals93.3%

Over 3.5 Goals87.6%

4+ Goals87.6%

Over 4.5 Goals78.0%

Over 5.5 Goals64.7%

Total Goals Odd48.3%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Under 5.5 Goals35.3%

Under 4.5 Goals22.0%

2-4 Goals17.8%

3-4 Goals15.3%

Under 3.5 Goals12.4%

1-3 Goals8.8%

2-3 Goals8.1%

Under 2.5 Goals6.7%

Exactly 3 Goals5.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

1-2 Goals3.2%

Exactly 2 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score88.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.3%

Home Clean Sheet7.7%

Home Win to Nil7.6%

Away Clean Sheet1.3%

Away Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Away Over 0.588.9%

Home Over 2.577.3%

Home 3+ Goals77.3%

Away Over 1.569.3%

Away Over 2.544.7%

Away 3+ Goals44.7%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 119.5%

Home Exactly 212.3%

Away Exactly 07.7%

Home Exactly 15.7%

Home Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away61.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.4%

Home to win by 3+35.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.7%

Away to win by 18.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.2%

Away to win by 25.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.5%

Home & Over 2.564.3%

Home & BTTS58.1%

Away & Over 2.517.8%

Away & BTTS17.2%

Draw & BTTS12.3%

Draw & Over 2.511.2%

Home & No BTTS7.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Home & Under 2.51.4%

Draw & Under 2.51.3%

Away & No BTTS1.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.4%

HT Over 1.581.3%

HT Both Teams Score58.3%

HT Home Win56.2%

2nd Half More Goals52.5%

HT/FT Home/Home49.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw21.9%

HT Away Win21.9%

HT Under 1.518.7%

Equal Goals Each Half15.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT/FT Away/Away11.1%

HT/FT Away/Home6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.7%

HT Under 0.54.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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