USA · Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution

Kick-off 22:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Chicago Fire 46.6% Draw 19.1% New England Revolution 34.3%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Chicago Fire: 12 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

Chicago Fire

D D D W W W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 13:10 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.67

New England Revolution

W L W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chicago Fire win46.6%

Draw19.1%

New England Revolution win34.3%

Over 1.5 goals96.7%

Over 2.5 goals88.1%

Over 3.5 goals74.4%

Both teams to score85.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

92.0%

Away Team to Score

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.3%

Goal in Both Halves84.3%

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Home or Draw (1X)65.0%

Draw No Bet - Home57.5%

Draw or Away (X2)52.8%

Home Win47.0%

Draw No Bet - Away42.5%

Away Win34.8%

Draw18.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.9%

Over 2.5 Goals87.8%

Over 3.5 Goals74.2%

4+ Goals74.2%

Under 5.5 Goals60.6%

Over 4.5 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals43.1%

Over 5.5 Goals39.4%

2-4 Goals39.0%

3-4 Goals30.9%

Under 3.5 Goals25.8%

1-3 Goals24.9%

2-3 Goals21.7%

Exactly 3 Goals13.6%

Under 2.5 Goals12.2%

1-2 Goals11.3%

Exactly 2 Goals8.1%

Under 1.5 Goals4.1%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.1%

Away Team to Score90.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.7%

Home Clean Sheet9.5%

Home Win to Nil8.8%

Away Clean Sheet6.6%

Away Win to Nil6.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.1%

Away Over 0.590.3%

Home Over 1.575.1%

Away Over 1.568.0%

Home Over 2.550.7%

Home 3+ Goals50.7%

Away Over 2.541.7%

Away 3+ Goals41.7%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Home Exactly 224.4%

Away Exactly 122.3%

Home Exactly 118.0%

Away Exactly 09.5%

Home Exactly 06.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 117.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.2%

Home to win by 3+16.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 213.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.6%

Away to win by 3+9.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.3%

Home & Over 2.542.9%

Home & BTTS38.1%

Away & Over 2.531.5%

Away & BTTS28.8%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Over 2.513.4%

Home & No BTTS8.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

Away & No BTTS6.0%

Draw & Under 2.54.6%

Home & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.8%

HT Over 1.566.5%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score46.1%

HT Home Win39.8%

HT Under 1.533.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win31.8%

HT/FT Home/Home30.5%

HT Draw28.4%

HT/FT Away/Away21.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT Under 0.510.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners75.3%

Over 9.5 Corners64.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners63.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners62.3%

Under 11.5 Corners59.9%

Over 10.5 Corners52.0%

Under 10.5 Corners48.0%

Home Most Corners44.9%

Away Most Corners42.9%

Over 11.5 Corners40.1%

Under 9.5 Corners35.9%

Under 8.5 Corners24.7%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards94.9%

Under 4.5 Cards87.4%

Under 3.5 Cards73.1%

Under 2.5 Cards51.2%

Over 2.5 Cards48.8%

Over 3.5 Cards26.9%

Over 4.5 Cards12.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards10.5%

Over 5.5 Cards5.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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