USA · Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC

Full time · 1:2

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

56% confidence

Chicago Fire 29.4% Draw 14.6% Orlando City SC 56.0%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

✓ Pick was correct (1:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

94%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Orlando City SC win at 56.0%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Orlando City SC: 5 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Chicago Fire win

29.4%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14.6%

1X2 model probability

Orlando City SC win

56%

1X2 model probability

Chicago Fire

L W L L D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:14 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Orlando City SC

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Chicago Fire 1wins ·0 draws ·Orlando City SC 0wins

Chicago Fire 2-1 Orlando City SCAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chicago Fire win29.4%

Draw14.6%

Orlando City SC win56.0%

Over 1.5 goals99.6%

Over 2.5 goals98.0%

Over 3.5 goals94.2%

Both teams to score95.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.2%

Goal in Both Halves95.2%

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Draw or Away (X2)67.8%

Draw No Bet - Away65.5%

Away Win53.9%

Home or Draw (1X)42.3%

Draw No Bet - Home34.5%

Home Win28.4%

Draw13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals94.3%

Over 3.5 Goals90.6%

4+ Goals90.6%

Over 4.5 Goals83.6%

Over 5.5 Goals73.0%

Total Goals Odd48.1%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Under 5.5 Goals27.0%

Under 4.5 Goals16.4%

2-4 Goals12.1%

3-4 Goals10.7%

Under 3.5 Goals9.4%

Under 2.5 Goals5.7%

1-3 Goals5.5%

2-3 Goals5.1%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 3 Goals3.7%

1-2 Goals1.8%

Exactly 2 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.8%

Home Team to Score92.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.7%

Away Clean Sheet3.6%

Away Win to Nil3.5%

Home Clean Sheet1.4%

Home Win to Nil1.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 0.592.6%

Away Over 1.589.0%

Home Over 1.580.8%

Away Over 2.576.5%

Away 3+ Goals76.5%

Home Over 2.561.3%

Home 3+ Goals61.3%

Home Exactly 219.5%

Away Exactly 212.5%

Home Exactly 111.8%

Away Exactly 15.8%

Home Exactly 03.6%

Away Exactly 01.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)93.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)70.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home70.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)57.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home57.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.7%

Away to win by 3+25.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.7%

Away to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.5%

Away to win by 213.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 111.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.2%

Home to win by 3+9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 28.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.6%

Away & Over 2.553.2%

Away & BTTS50.4%

Home & Over 2.528.0%

Home & BTTS27.1%

Draw & BTTS13.8%

Draw & Over 2.513.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.7%

Away & No BTTS3.5%

Home & No BTTS1.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.2%

Draw & Under 2.50.8%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

BTTS & Under 2.50.7%

Home & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.7%

HT Over 1.585.5%

HT Both Teams Score66.1%

2nd Half More Goals53.5%

HT Away Win48.3%

HT/FT Away/Away39.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win29.7%

HT Draw22.0%

HT/FT Home/Home18.2%

HT Under 1.514.5%

Equal Goals Each Half14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT/FT Home/Away6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT Under 0.53.3%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners88.8%

Under 10.5 Corners81.6%

Under 9.5 Corners71.7%

Home Most Corners61.5%

Under 8.5 Corners59.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Over 8.5 Corners40.7%

Over 9.5 Corners28.3%

Away Most Corners25.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners24.4%

Over 10.5 Corners18.4%

Over 11.5 Corners11.2%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards87.9%

Under 4.5 Cards75.6%

Over 2.5 Cards64.7%

Under 3.5 Cards57.3%

Over 3.5 Cards42.7%

Under 2.5 Cards35.3%

Over 4.5 Cards24.4%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.3%

Over 5.5 Cards12.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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