USA · Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union

● LIVE 62' · 1:2

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

66% confidence

Chicago Fire 20.7% Draw 13.2% Philadelphia Union 66.1%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

93%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Philadelphia Union win at 66.1%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Philadelphia Union: 6 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Chicago Fire win

20.7%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.2%

1X2 model probability

Philadelphia Union win

66.1%

1X2 model probability

Chicago Fire

W L L D D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Philadelphia Union

W W W W D D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 19:6 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chicago Fire win20.7%

Draw13.2%

Philadelphia Union win66.1%

Over 1.5 goals99.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.5%

Over 3.5 goals92.8%

Both teams to score92.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.5%

Goal in Both Halves94.5%

Home or Away (12)83.3%

Draw No Bet - Away76.1%

Draw or Away (X2)75.9%

Away Win63.4%

Home or Draw (1X)32.3%

Draw No Bet - Home23.9%

Home Win19.9%

Draw12.4%

Exactly 1 Goal0.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.3%

Over 3.5 Goals88.9%

4+ Goals88.9%

Over 4.5 Goals80.8%

Over 5.5 Goals69.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Total Goals Even47.9%

Under 5.5 Goals31.0%

Under 4.5 Goals19.2%

2-4 Goals14.4%

3-4 Goals12.5%

Under 3.5 Goals11.1%

1-3 Goals6.8%

Under 2.5 Goals6.7%

2-3 Goals6.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 3 Goals4.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

1-2 Goals2.3%

Exactly 2 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.6%

Home Team to Score89.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.3%

Away Clean Sheet6.0%

Away Win to Nil5.9%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.6%

Home Over 0.589.8%

Away Over 1.589.7%

Away Over 2.578.4%

Away 3+ Goals78.4%

Home Over 1.573.1%

Home Over 2.550.1%

Home 3+ Goals50.1%

Home Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 116.6%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 06.0%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home84.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home74.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)63.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)61.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home61.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)48.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away48.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home47.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)33.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away33.9%

Away to win by 3+33.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)32.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home32.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away21.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.8%

Away to win by 214.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.0%

Home to win by 19.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.6%

Home to win by 25.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.2%

Home to win by 3+5.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.9%

Away & Over 2.562.4%

Away & BTTS57.5%

Home & Over 2.519.4%

Home & BTTS18.9%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

Draw & Over 2.511.5%

Away & No BTTS5.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Home & No BTTS1.0%

Draw & Under 2.50.9%

BTTS & Under 2.50.9%

Home & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.2%

HT Over 1.583.8%

HT Both Teams Score61.9%

HT Away Win55.3%

2nd Half More Goals53.1%

HT/FT Away/Away48.0%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win23.2%

HT Draw21.4%

HT Under 1.516.2%

Equal Goals Each Half14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.5%

HT/FT Home/Home12.2%

HT/FT Home/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT Under 0.53.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners81.1%

Away Most Corners77.9%

Over 8.5 Corners73.7%

Over 9.5 Corners62.2%

Under 11.5 Corners61.9%

Over 10.5 Corners50.0%

Under 10.5 Corners50.0%

Over 11.5 Corners38.1%

Under 9.5 Corners37.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Under 8.5 Corners26.3%

Home Most Corners13.9%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards89.8%

Under 4.5 Cards78.7%

Over 2.5 Cards61.3%

Under 3.5 Cards61.0%

Over 3.5 Cards39.0%

Under 2.5 Cards38.7%

Over 4.5 Cards21.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.7%

Over 5.5 Cards10.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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